fossilrock Posted July 18, 2015 Share Posted July 18, 2015 The last hobbit wave seemed to also have a short production run and release, and it contained Smaug. Im guessing making these larger figures do factor in these production runs being less than normal. But unlike the hobbit line, Jurassic World is vastly popular with the kids, which I think was underestimated by retailers, and lego, and hence it overwhelmed the series in a short time. Although, the molds for most of these dinos have already been done before. The Gallimimus, Raptor, Trex, and Pterandon were done before in the same mold. Only the Dilophosaurus and IR were new molds.. Like I said earlier most of the pieces in these sets are extremely common and seem to be in 20 other sets. Only the minifies and dino's had some uniqueness to them. So it has to be based on the production capabilities of the dino's. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wildemar Posted July 18, 2015 Share Posted July 18, 2015 (edited) How long should they take to go? Based on sales in the last 24 hours and without further restock, 75917 should last about a month and 75920 about 2 weeks. But that's a small sample and therefore a very rough estimate. Edited July 18, 2015 by Wildemar Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Mack Posted July 18, 2015 Share Posted July 18, 2015 Regardless of whatever happens 6 months from now, there is an opportunity for some flippers to make money off these sets in the near term if the shortages continue. Not everyone has to invest in big ticket sets to make money at this game. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevink24 Posted July 18, 2015 Share Posted July 18, 2015 (edited) To add more conspiracy to this thread... In talking with a Walmart Toy Dept Mgr today, they stated that Indominus Rex and Raptor Escape will not be back in stores and that they considered JW to be seasonal. The Raptor Escape is sold out (so no clearance) and the Indominus Rex was pricy - hence the drop to $99 in price, and wanted the shelf space. Those two sets are completely gone in my area and will not be replaced they said. Not sure about the other sets. Maybe it is not done as a series, but will only be available online as restocks happen at Walmart website or Shop at Home. Disclosure: Just passing on what was discussed, not sure how accurate, take it or leave it. Edited July 18, 2015 by Kevink24 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lawnboy1001 Posted July 18, 2015 Share Posted July 18, 2015 Just a thought: 75918 shows out of stock but will ship in 30, whereas the Walmart exclusive 75920 is just out of stock. Maybe they will continue to produce all except the WM exclusive? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fossilrock Posted July 18, 2015 Share Posted July 18, 2015 I think the supply has also cratered in the states too. There are solid signs of this being the case. Online at Amazon, Walmart, and Target a majority of the sets are gone (and gone from stores too)… In my local area, Trex tracker was showing a restock date a week ago of July 20th at walmart. Now that has been pulled and it no longer shows a restock date on any of them. Usually you can reserve sets when they are due in, but now these sit at "get in stock alerts" and you can't reserve any of them. That to me says these are out of stock at the suppliers too and they aren't getting them back in. These sets went as fast as they got them in too, considering these were released on May 1st. I was somewhat fortunate in that I kept track of the stock in my area over the last 3 weeks, and was able to land quite a few Trex trackers, Raptor Escapes, and IR sets. What happens next, I'm not sure, but none of the major retails seem to be getting any back in anytime soon. It could very well be that ramping up for Star Wars is lego's main focus, and JW will come later. But, i'm starting to have doubts on that too. Considering Jurassic World was the fastest movie to the 600 million mark, I think both retailers, and lego completely underestimated what was about to occur with this film. I kind of feel good that I left 2 DS's sitting in the cart on sunday night, especially after I just spent a weekend acquiring JW sets. In the end I might not lose either way. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tacsniper Posted July 18, 2015 Share Posted July 18, 2015 (edited) This theme may not be available in major retail stores agian, but only at Lego stores and LEGO Shop at Home? Edited July 18, 2015 by tacsniper Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fossilrock Posted July 18, 2015 Share Posted July 18, 2015 This set may not be available in major retail stores agian, but only at Lego stores and LEGO Shop at Home?I don't think Raptor Escape is going to be at WM or LEGO Shop at Home again, period. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tacsniper Posted July 18, 2015 Share Posted July 18, 2015 I don't think Raptor Escape is going to be at WM or LEGO Shop at Home again, period. I hope you are right. I can't wait for this to triple 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fossilrock Posted July 18, 2015 Share Posted July 18, 2015 I hope you are right. I can't wait for this to triple Triple? I think some of these are more like the grand slam of 2015. I think you can now put Rexie in the same category too. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cobrakai Posted July 18, 2015 Share Posted July 18, 2015 Indominous, raptor rampage, and the 2 smaller sets were all available for msrp at Amazon about an hour ago. I'm at my weekly limit on them. T rex seems to be the rare one outside of raptor escape. I did get 2 orders of 5 each raptor escapes from walmart.com about 10 days ago, but they have been shipping them one at a time and sending order delays on the rest. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fossilrock Posted July 18, 2015 Share Posted July 18, 2015 I just did a pretty substantial online search of inventory over a large range of the midatlantic. Seems that Dilophosaurus, Raptor Rampage and the Pterandon set will be getting a restock at quite a few WM's on July 30th. For some reason B&N's tracker is not working and they changed it recently. But, I ran through this last week when it was operational, and it was thin at that point, and that was over a 200 mile radius. TRU is showing some decent stock levels (sporadic though), but they are obviously above retail, but if you use TRUTH magic, there's a chance to land some good ones still. IR, Rexie, and Raptor Escape are showing no signs of restocks in the next few weeks, at least at WM. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tacsniper Posted July 18, 2015 Share Posted July 18, 2015 I just did a pretty substantial online search of inventory over a large range of the midatlantic. Seems that Dilophosaurus, Raptor Rampage and the Pterandon set will be getting a restock at quite a few WM's on July 30th. For some reason B&N's tracker is not working and they changed it recently. But, I ran through this last week when it was operational, and it was thin at that point, and that was over a 200 mile radius. TRU is showing some decent stock levels (sporadic though), but they are obviously above retail, but if you use TRUTH magic, there's a chance to land some good ones still. IR, Rexie, and Raptor Escape are showing no signs of restocks in the next few weeks, at least at WM.Regardless, this will be interesting to see how it develops over the next few weeks. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tacsniper Posted July 19, 2015 Share Posted July 19, 2015 Anyone know the breakdown of sets per carton?7591575916759177591875919 - 275920 - 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fossilrock Posted July 19, 2015 Share Posted July 19, 2015 75919 got knocked out of LEGO Shop at Home and Amazon and is back up to 169 on amazon. Still OOS on the other usual suspects. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tacsniper Posted July 19, 2015 Share Posted July 19, 2015 Anyone thinks 75915/16 have the potential for the most gains as they are not massively hoarded compare to the rest? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sandwraith Posted July 19, 2015 Share Posted July 19, 2015 Anyone thinks 75915/16 have the potential for the most gains as they are not massively hoarded compare to the rest? Honestly at this point i'm not sure any JW world set qualifies to be branded as a "Massively Hoarded Set" 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fossilrock Posted July 19, 2015 Share Posted July 19, 2015 Anyone thinks 75915/16 have the potential for the most gains as they are not massively hoarded compare to the rest?I don't think any of them are massively hoarded. One current glance at amazon shows that there aren't many RE's (33) in the hands of resellers. IR (28 offers) and rexie (28) fit the same boat as not very hoarded. Keep your stash. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ryan Junior Posted July 19, 2015 Share Posted July 19, 2015 Are you guys planning on holding or quickflipping Jurassic World sets? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trekgate502 Posted July 19, 2015 Share Posted July 19, 2015 Are you guys planning on holding or quickflipping Jurassic World sets? both but mostly hold Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
emazers Posted July 19, 2015 Share Posted July 19, 2015 Does anybody think that Lego paid 5 million dollars or more for the JW License and retire the sets in a few months, even the Lone Ranger sets were out for about 8 months. and that 5 million is most likely on the light side, for these sets not being around for Christmas will be a shock to me and many others. Ed 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fossilrock Posted July 19, 2015 Share Posted July 19, 2015 Are you guys planning on holding or quickflipping Jurassic World sets? I'm holding these… at least until the next film. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cory730 Posted July 19, 2015 Share Posted July 19, 2015 Lone Ranger was around because it sucked and nobody bought them. I think they produced enough to last till Christmas but it exploded and they sold through there stock faster and add in Most hyped movie ever coming and we have a perfect storm. I hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tacsniper Posted July 19, 2015 Share Posted July 19, 2015 (edited) Lone Ranger was around because it sucked and nobody bought them. I think they produced enough to last till Christmas but it exploded and they sold through there stock faster and add in Most hyped movie ever coming and we have a perfect storm. I hopeAdd the big box stores are not restocking them... at least that's what we've been told so far as reported by others in Australia, Canada and USA. However, that doesn't mean Lego stores or LEGO Shop at Home will stop selling them. So if reports are true and Lego don't stop, then Lego maybe the only source to get these sets. This development will be very interesting to watch Edited July 19, 2015 by tacsniper Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tonysbricks Posted July 19, 2015 Share Posted July 19, 2015 If this comes back in stock everywhere and you are stuck with a huge pile that is outside the return window, contact me ... I want 1 of each. I skipped buying them on Amazon today when they were in stock because I could only get 4/6 and I really only want all 6 or none. The poly bag(s) would be cool too. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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