Retiring Soon - open speculation

[Stonebreaker]

  On 12/8/2023 at 1:02 AM, ManAetherslime14 said:

You're right, the Minecraft theme for investing has gone downhill. The last set to do fairly well was 21163.

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I'm not a Minecraft expert, but I started with buying 2 21161 (Crafting Box 3.0) and later bought some of the Modern Treehouses too. Unfortunatel missed out on 21187 The Red Barn though.

Crafting Box 4.0 is disappointing, but 21161 is doing just fine (MSRP 79.99 €, got my sets for 40% of and currently selling around 100 €.

I think the problem isn't the Minecraft theme per se, but the sets available right now. There's a reason I bought the Crafting Box 3.0 twice, it's just a good generic set, just like the Ninjago Dojo Temple.

[fossilrock]

  On 12/9/2023 at 5:48 PM, mlc3423 said:

Limit 1

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Back to out of stock on target.  

[Bricklectic]

  On 12/10/2023 at 12:35 AM, fossilrock said:

Back to out of stock on target.  

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its been in and out of stock at target for weeks now. at 1 per its hard to get alot. i am surprised at this still being in stock 5 per order at lego.con. i assume everyone hoarded this, it being 1) first of the botanicals to go and 2) a target EXCLUSIVE  

[mlc3423]

  On 12/10/2023 at 12:43 AM, Bricklectic said:

its been in and out of stock at target for weeks now. at 1 per its hard to get alot. i am surprised at this still being in stock 5 per order at lego.con. i assume everyone hoarded this, it being 1) first of the botanicals to go and 2) a target EXCLUSIVE  

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 2) a target EXCLUSIVE  ,,,,,,,,,THIS

I'm starting to think more and more of steering clear of target exclusives thanks to ol Shane and his band of misfits/worshippers 

Really starting to wonder if he's a Target Employee/Hypeman to help them move stock

Edited December 10, 2023 by mlc3423

[mlc3423]

  On 12/10/2023 at 12:35 AM, fossilrock said:

Back to out of stock on target.  

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Still Limit 5 at SAH....Go Go Go!

[fossilrock]

  On 12/10/2023 at 12:43 AM, Bricklectic said:

its been in and out of stock at target for weeks now. at 1 per its hard to get alot. i am surprised at this still being in stock 5 per order at lego.con. i assume everyone hoarded this, it being 1) first of the botanicals to go and 2) a target EXCLUSIVE  

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Not being able to mass hoard its a good thing.  Personally, i think this one will do well, especially if the botanical line continues to output a few sets per year that are different from each other.

 

  On 12/10/2023 at 12:51 AM, mlc3423 said:

Still Limit 5 at SAH....Go Go Go!

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Managed to get one to build and one to sell from lego this morning.  I was a bit elated this one came back because i completely missed this one.

[ravenb99]

  On 12/9/2023 at 10:56 PM, Pseudoty said:

If you want to get the first set of a new series this one comes out January 1st, the Fauna Collection 

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more interested in that sweet sweet mushroom blanket???

[Billy Brick]

  On 12/10/2023 at 2:47 AM, ravenb99 said:

more interested in that sweet sweet mushroom blanket???

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I love tropical decor and I am disappointed with this set, it looks flat, the shaping is good but the color variation is lacking. I may buy at a deep discount but it is nothing I would seek over a more appealing print of some kind.

[cladner]

  On 12/10/2023 at 2:56 AM, Billy Brick said:

I love tropical decor and I am disappointed with this set, it looks flat, the shaping is good but the color variation is lacking. I may buy at a deep discount but it is nothing I would seek over a more appealing print of some kind.

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i would buy the set if the shroom blanket was the gwp.

[Furious_george]

  On 12/9/2023 at 10:56 PM, Pseudoty said:

If you want to get the first set of a new series this one comes out January 1st, the Fauna Collection 

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Says here Kingfisher is first.

https://www.bricktastic.net/lego-icons/lego-icons-10331-kingfisher-will-be-the-first-set-in-the-fauna-series/

[Stonebreaker]

  On 12/10/2023 at 9:07 AM, Furious_george said:

Says here Kingfisher is first.

https://www.bricktastic.net/lego-icons/lego-icons-10331-kingfisher-will-be-the-first-set-in-the-fauna-series/

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So the Kingfisher is going to be an Icons set, whereas Pair of Parrots come within the Arts category?

[redcell]

  On 12/10/2023 at 11:53 AM, Stonebreaker said:

So the Kingfisher is going to be an Icons set, whereas Pair of Parrots come within the Arts category?

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Pair of Parrots is definitely an Arts set along with a new Mona Lisa set IIRC.

[BillyBricks]

For those looking for 10289 (Birds of Paradis), it's back in stock and one of the sets eligible for the "Spend $50, get a $10 GC" promotion. 

[mlc3423]

  On 12/10/2023 at 2:18 PM, BillyBricks said:

For those looking for 10289 (Birds of Paradis), it's back in stock and one of the sets eligible for the "Spend $50, get a $10 GC" promotion. 

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Here's the complete list of sets for anyone interested

https://www.target.com/pl/750609673?moveTo=product-list-grid

[fossilrock]

  On 12/10/2023 at 3:29 PM, mlc3423 said:

Here's the complete list of sets for anyone interested

https://www.target.com/pl/750609673?moveTo=product-list-grid

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Jeez, Lego produces a lot of junk.

[cladner]

it will be interesting to see the UCS Millenium Falcon retire coming up this time next year.  on the list for 12/31/24.  

  I would imagine given the past performance of the previous ucs iteration, it will be heavily hoarded heading into the close.

i wonder if this should be the only set i invest in coming up this year as i begin to imagine an emazer-like long game for myself down the road a ways (lord willing of course).

Edited December 10, 2023 by cladner

[BrickStanley74]

  On 12/10/2023 at 6:00 PM, cladner said:

it will be interesting to see the UCS Millenium Falcon retire coming up this time next year.  on the list for 12/31/24.  

  I would imagine given the past performance of the previous ucs iteration, it will be heavily hoarded heading into the close.

i wonder if this should be the only set i invest in coming up this year as i begin to imagine an emazer-like long game for myself down the road a ways (lord willing of course).

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Nice Emazer reference 😁. Whatever happened to that guy??

[mlc3423]

  On 12/10/2023 at 6:00 PM, cladner said:

it will be interesting to see the UCS Millenium Falcon retire coming up this time next year.  on the list for 12/31/24.  

  I would imagine given the past performance of the previous ucs iteration, it will be heavily hoarded heading into the close.

i wonder if this should be the only set i invest in coming up this year as i begin to imagine an emazer-like long game for myself down the road a ways (lord willing of course).

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I was thinking about Ed myself the other day.....Ed and i had many conversations and he always talked negatively about buying small sets and was hellbent on only buying the higher end sets (Or at least that's what he said)

With so many people on the lego train i'm starting to wonder if it's time to start going back to that strategy until the glut of resellers goes back to where it was precovid or at least when things were more normal.....Just a thought

As far as what happened to ed the last time i talked to him he was selling everything on craigslist years ago

[Pseudoty]

  On 12/10/2023 at 6:00 PM, cladner said:

it will be interesting to see the UCS Millenium Falcon retire coming up this time next year.  on the list for 12/31/24.  

  I would imagine given the past performance of the previous ucs iteration, it will be heavily hoarded heading into the close.

i wonder if this should be the only set i invest in coming up this year as i begin to imagine an emazer-like long game for myself down the road a ways (lord willing of course).

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I found it interesting that we did not really see any discounts on the UCS MILF this season that I am aware of. Last year Zavi always had a code for it between $100-$250 off and Amazon had it as a lightning deal or whatever they are called these days a Sloth deal. 

[joch29]

  On 12/10/2023 at 6:00 PM, cladner said:

it will be interesting to see the UCS Millenium Falcon retire coming up this time next year.  on the list for 12/31/24. 

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I think it got pushed back another year.

[fossilrock]

  On 12/10/2023 at 6:18 PM, mlc3423 said:

I was thinking about Ed myself the other day.....Ed and i had many conversations and he always talked negatively about buying small sets and was hellbent on only buying the higher end sets (Or at least that's what he said)

With so many people on the lego train i'm starting to wonder if it's time to start going back to that strategy until the glut of resellers goes back to where it was precovid or at least when things were more normal.....Just a thought

As far as what happened to ed the last time i talked to him he was selling everything on craigslist years ago

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Just look at this year.  Haunted House and Colosseum have seen good healthy spikes out of the gate.  You can make about 300.00 off the Colosseum right now.  It would take a lot of little sets to make up for that.  The only problem with the larger sets is having the storage space, if youre just a small timer without a warehouse and just a garage.

[mlc3423]

  On 12/10/2023 at 7:07 PM, fossilrock said:

Just look at this year.  Haunted House and Colosseum have seen good healthy spikes out of the gate.  You can make about 300.00 off the Colosseum right now.  It would take a lot of little sets to make up for that.  The only problem with the larger sets is having the storage space, if youre just a small timer without a warehouse and just a garage.

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That's the boat i'm in.....I do lego mostly part time (Main thing i sell is records and baseball cards) and space is of the essence.....Looking to build a garage or pole barn next year cause i refuse to get anymore storage units....I'm sure like  most of you i dropped big $$$ on storage units for years and years

The set i wanna go deep in is Mos Eisley Cantina but i'm afraid it'll get delayed again like it did this year

[brickolodon]

i think 42128 will do great. thats only large set this year for investing

[mlc3423]

  On 12/10/2023 at 7:17 PM, brickolodon said:

i think 42128 will do great. thats only large set this year for investing

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I've never went too deep on Technic sets....Might be something to consider

[gmpirate]

It's not that Technic doesn't do well.  It's more a question of volume.