I appreciate articles like these. They help condense the loads of information available on this site. But I do worry that new investors (or the “investor-curious”) can get unrealistic expectations when reviewing a list of Lego sets that have increased in value “50% to 130% in the past six months”. It is repeated time and again in the forum and other blogs, but cannot be stressed enough: These theoretical returns are far from the reality for most of us.
I feel lucky that I have at least half of this list in my inventory, but still I’m not overly excited about the returns so far. Take into account shipping costs, ebay fees, etc, and the profits are not so amazing. For 31025 Mountain Hut and 75034 D.S. Troopers, I might make $1 or $2 profit on each one if bought and sold at the prices shown here. On the 75030 Microfighter and 75049 Snow Speeder, I might earn $5 each. I would need a whole walk-in closet stacked full of these sets to pay for a nice dinner out. After shipping and fees, actual net profits on these are closer to 5% - 30%.
Of course, 75054 AT-AT, 75055 ISD, and 76023 The Tumbler could turn a nice $50 profit on each one if sold today. And 70810 The Sea Cow will easily put $100 in my pocket. That’s fantastic. All of the sets on this list have done very well over the last six months. But keep in mind, I – and many other investors – didn’t buy these sets six months ago. Most have been in my inventory for over a year, which of course, dilutes our returns even further.