So this being a Lego investment forum and all, I thought it might be a good idea to write a small post about which raffle tickets to purchase, with only a few hours to go before this set of opportunities becomes a retired product*.
There are 11 lots in total. Here's an overview + value** + my thoughts + rating.
1. Death Star (10188). Value: $530. Hoarded from day one, though one of the best opportunities of the first wave. Rating: 6/10.
2. UCS R2-D2 (10225). Value: $350. Hoarded from day one. Rating: 4/10.
3. Case of minifigures, probably including Mr Gold (71001). Value: $615 (or more, if Mr Gold is included). Bit hoarded maybe but many people aren't aware of the value (including me before Ed informed me). So rating: 8/10.
4. Haunted House (10228). Value: $385. Hoarded because of sentimental value I think. Rating: 5/10.
5. Town Hall (10224). Value: $500. Second wave, which is good. Nice value. Rating: 8/10.
6. Grand Emporium (10211) & Parisian Restaurant (10243). $425. Third wave, which is better. Nice sets. Rating: 7/10.
7. Mystery box 5000+ pieces. Value: probably $400-$1,000. Probably not too many raffle tickets sold for this one. You don't know what you're going to get but it certainly isn't going to be bad with that many pieces. Rating: 8/10.
8. Create a bundle 5000+ pieces. Value: probably $500-$1,000. You get to pick them yourself... honestly? This is a must have. One of the latest additions to the raffle, many people who first bought their tickets weeks before probably didn't notice this or didn't get the tickets. Rating: 9/10.
9. Tumbler (76023) & Arkhan Asylum Breakout (10937). Value: $530. This is a very good value for a lot overlooked by most Brickpickers, probably. Rating: 8/10.
10. Brickpicker bundle: 11 desirable sets. Value: $935. Yes you read that right, I added all values and this turns out to be by far the most valuable lot (that we know the value of). It was also one of the last added. So this is, for me, easily the lot that is best worth getting. Get it now... while you still can. Rating: 10/10.
11. Friends bundle: 10 Friends sets plus 1 ideas set. Value: $260. Not unexpectedly, the least value lot. Few raffle tickets sold for this one, probably. Because it's the last added to the raffle and because of the value. So still not bad for your $10. Chances of winning this are of course relatively good. Rating: 5/10.
Conclusions (from worst to best):
- Lot 2 is probably not the right choice at this point in time (value 4/10).
- Lots 4 and 11 I also wouldn't try, unless you really want that Haunted House or are a friends' friend (value 5/10). - Lots 1 looks okay (value 6/10).
- Lot 6 is a very understandable choice (value 7/10). - Lots 3, 5, 7 and 9 are probably rather overlooked and have high values. Much recommended (value 8/10).
- Lot 8 is a must-have. Get a few of those tickets or you'll regret it later. - Lot 10 is, in my view, the best of the bunch. Get as many tickets as you can while you can. This is a winner!
Guess I'm going to get myself another ticket for lot 10.
*The tone of this post is not to be taken too seriously, was however written with respect for the good cause and its contents are in principle true and useful. The use of terms as 'retired' and 'hoarded' is intended as playful and should not be interpreted as businesslike or disrespectful.
** For the value I took a look at Brickpicker's price guide + current listings.