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Showing content with the highest reputation on 01/30/2016 in all areas

  1. @Mos_Eisley "imitation is the sincerest form of flattery". i would like to totally rip-off Mos' great idea of likes. This is a good cause so I don't think Mos will mind plus he's far more original than me when it comes to ideas like this. In addition to already donating 2 SW TFA sets along with a small donation, my wife and i will like to give even more by engaging other Brickpicker members. *** For each LIKE this post gets, we will donate $1 per by purchasing fundraiser tickets. No limit of likes. *** The cutoff time for my likes is Sunday @ 12:00 PM EST. note: I think we can get 500 likes with this post alone! Lets work together make it happen. Mos' post can be found below. More info = https://rallyup.com/stpaul-2016/ ----- @Ed Mack @Jeff Mack
    32 points
  2. 71 likes / $71 dollars in the last 8 hours. Not bad but we can do better. Please click the post below and LIKE it. Nothing more, nothing less. A simple click and more money is put toward a great cause. P.s. Don't forget to LIKE Mos” post also.
    12 points
  3. That's a great link right above, lets revive this forum a little BPs! if you got your money on bundle #5, you may just be getting my bricks too anyway, as cheap as I am, as lazy, as....as NOT-participating-in-SH.T as I am, I'm going to make a little version of Mos_Eisley $-4-likes idea, give this post 10 likes and I'll spend $10 on raffle ticket, up to 50 likes/$50! Let's go. (I'll pay on last day of the raffle Ed) And on the side, buy some tix too! Plus like Mos_Eisley post that I provided...
    10 points
  4. Alright, I'm selling likes! I've already bought some raffle tickets, but just for fun, for every "like" this post gets from members who joined before the time of this posting, I'll spend an equal amount on more tickets, up to $250. If it gets beyond that, I'll figure out how much more I'll spend. Let's set a like record!
    9 points
  5. I scored these 3 sets for $42.98 shipped on eBay so far I've located all of the minifigures and actual sets are looking complete!
    8 points
  6. http://www.rollingstone.com/movies/videos/see-rick-springfields-massive-star-wars-toy-collection-20151207
    7 points
  7. Since we're getting toward the end and I didn't want to run out of time this weekend, I went ahead and purchased $200 worth of tickets with the likes at 162 when I bought. I figured that should cover any other likes that come in over the weekend. If it gets over $200, I'll take of that Sunday night.
    7 points
  8. Links to Likes for $1 posts: Mos Eisley 160/250++ LIKES Lordoflego 52/50 Likes Jaisonline 77/∞ LIKES It's easy! Just click the links and hit "like"!!
    7 points
  9. Let's impress the rest of the LEGO world. $50,000 and 1000 supporters sounds so much better than $45.000 and 900 supporters. We have two days.
    5 points
  10. Post.....posted. 50 likes-received. $50/5tix-purchased, thanks and keep it up everybody, looks like great sprint at the end of the race.
    5 points
  11. All, lets get a jump start to $50k by liking the post below.
    5 points
  12. Love it! Frank Lloyd Wright should have totally went with this name. Runningwater, the great American architectural dwelling!
    4 points
  13. Star Wars Episode VIII: The First Order Retaliates Star Wars Episode IX: Regroup of the Jedi
    4 points
  14. Nope, I moved it before you saw it.
    4 points
  15. It is pretty amazing what the Macks and all the BrickPickers are doing. I don't think anyone in the community here in Burlington would have expected this response. It is and has been the big topic of conversation. Every time the parents meet about fundraising or even run into each other in the community, we express our gratitude for this endeavor. Even people who don't attend St. Paul's in the community are noticing. My family and I cannot thank your community enough. I know it means a lot Ed, but he is just one part of the picture. There are so many families that are going to be positively affected by the outcome of this raffle (not including the Lego winners). I am very grateful that Ed and Jeff began this initiative. It may sound silly but all of you will have contributed to my piece of mind for next school year, one less worry. So thank you all and good luck!
    3 points
  16. About 100 likes / $100 dollars in 26 hours. Not too bad. We can do better. Please click the post below and LIKE it (not this specific post). A simple click and more money is put toward a great cause. Please also donate anything to St Paul's Parochial School if not already.
    3 points
  17. Three mint Death stars, Sandcrawler, and an Ewok Village from Toys R Us arrived today.
    3 points
  18. I wasn't too sold on the EV until I got one for my son at Christmas and once I saw the final build together and some of the features so think this is a pretty awesome set! Going to get a few for investment now.
    3 points
  19. I like the blog for what I think it is intended to be - a little snap of the fingers in front of the face of the newer members of our horde. Sure it's biased, and that is the point, as I take it... that there are very viable (arguably more profitable) opportunities out there with less capital and less risk tolerance required... for the trade-off of more work, most likely. I personally splash around in both pools a lot, but the "small" one sees a lot more action because deals like MHG lend themselves so easily to flipping (which for me means approx a year or less hold). Meanwhile the Tumblers, Town Halls, etc. just take up space and gain value. One day they will be ripe and ready to harvest. Good contribution, should make a few people think about what they are doing more.
    3 points
  20. 3 points
  21. I'm the utmost newbie, for sure, never ever having commented here. But I can't help but do it for the first time in order to commend you for your effort in benefit of this school. I'm thousands of miles away but was truly moved by the idea and, much, much more by what I've read here so I could not not take part in it, as small as the contribution I can afford might be (and is). I just had to do it - to let you know a noble cause knows no borders and so that my little support to whatever two guys who show such a kind heart as you do ask help spur you on now and always. Cheers and best of luck for the school, students, teachers and parents.
    3 points
  22. This was a surreal experience a lot of enjoyment not so much from the build but from finally getting to build the CC. I need a frog and some hair. Up next GG.
    3 points
  23. I'm not talented when it comes to moc's and the things I see here are way over my head. But from time to time, I do try to build something when sales are calm. Mind you this is a work in progress. This is what I wanted to build. The palace of Morocco. I had opened up Battle of Alamut and found it a nice set, but ... well... too small. So I went for something bigger. The front gate is the first thing I built. I didn't order any special bricks and my inventory of loose bricks is modest. The front gate is almost complete. Inside there is a square which I will do last with some sort of pool. Not sure yet. And to both left and right there are riaads. The outside of the riaad looks like this, it's the side of the moc. Second floor will be a copy of the ground floor if I have enough small bows.I'm missing 1 of the orangy pillars so pretty grrrr about that. Still searching. The palace itself And from the back. Not sure I will close the back wall as it will be very dark if I do Is my third day I'm working on it so plenty of stuff still to do
    3 points
  24. When I first got into LEGO as an AFOL I was looking at all of the Star Wars sets that I had missed and how much they cost. It became necessary to figure out a way to get the sets cheaper or make more money. I knew that some people must be making money buying bulk lots and taking out the stuff they wanted and selling the rest. That seemed like 2 birds with one stone. I looked at the bulk lots on Ebay, realizing that most of what I would get from these guys were common pieces. So I started looking at bigger lots, somewhat intimidated by their cost. I figured, however, if an Ebayer was getting $10 for a pound maybe I could make some money just throwing stuff in a box, easy money. I made a purchase of about 50 lbs for about $350 because I saw some Star Wars sets and minifigures in there. Oh boy, easy money and some treasures of my own. Boy, was I wrong. The money is anything but easy. I quickly discovered that out of my 50 lbs of mixed LEGO, at least 5 lbs were easily recognizable as not building bricks at all. Tinker toys, K'Nex, Hot Wheels, plastic army men, broken action figures, Lincoln logs, playing cards, thumb tacks, thorny burrs and even broken glass was mixed into the ABS blocks. On top of all that junk, the real problems started. All of the Mega Blocks, BTR, and assorted knock off blocks knocked another 5+ lbs out of the lot. That's at least 20% of my precious blocks that was basically trash. As you filter through, you discover broken bricks, severely teeth marked ones and yellowed pieces. profits are getting slimmer by the minute. Ok, so I regrouped and focused on the sets that were obviously present. I pulled out the stuff I immediately recognized most of a TIE Interceptor, a little car, Jedi Interceptor with Hyperdrive ring, half an ARC Fighter, etc. All of these I scattered around me like ancient peoples paying homage to their creator. How do I go from lots of partial sets to lots of complete sets that I can flip to make back the money that I sunk into this thing? Well first I needed to figure out what was missing. So, I looked at instruction books to see what steps I needed to take to complete them and what pieces were missing from there. Utter bust. That's an awful way to do it. So I took apart the sets I had figured out and checked the inventory against Bricklink. I discovered what was missing, and that sometimes kids substitute pieces in the middle of a build. Now that I knew what was missing, time to turn back to 20 lbs of assorted bulk. digging through mixed bricks looking for the piece or pieces I need was time consuming and futile. Time to sort them out to make it easier. My wife and I sorted that 20 lbs of pieces by color. We had 10+ bags of pieces separated loosely by color (old and new colors mixing futilely.) That made it easier to look for pieces, but still sometimes wasting a lot of time trying to pick out a small piece in a big bag. After exhausting my patience, I turned to Bricklink to acquire the pieces I needed, dumping more money into this hole. Eventually I sold a bunch of sets I made from this and a few other bulk lots. Between the Bricklink orders I placed to complete them and the fees and shipping, I think I made some money. My book keeping was pretty terrible. But it all taught me some things. Some of these things I learned could help some people just starting out trying to find treasure in Bulk lots. STEP 1: Valuation So, you're looking at a bulk lot that you found on Craigslist, Ebay, a garage sale, another auction or whatever. How should you evaluate it? Weight: The volume of pieces will tell you roughly how much is there. 2 lbs = not a lot. 25 lb = a lot. Since you're not buying the sets one by one, you have to immediately realize that you are going to be getting dead weight in addition to the treasures that you seek. Visible sets: Any visible set that you can place is good. That will give you an immediate idea of what you can make out of the lot. No visible sets or parts of sets means that there may or may not be gold in there. Minifigures: If minifigures are present that's good. If licensed minifigures are present, that's even better. a loose rule I use is to look for flesh colored minifigure heads and hands. Sure there's some dummies in that group, and some good figures that have yellow heads and hands, but it's a good starting point. Instructions and boxes: Both of these are a good gauge to show you what sets may be present, but could be red herrings. Sometimes the instructions stick around long after the main components of a set are lost. Non LEGO stuff: There's always some detritus. The flotsam and jetsam of stuff that parents scoop up into the boxes. The most common stuff is non LEGO bricks. They're not always easy to pick out at first glance, but they're usually there. What you are looking for is how much of the lot is obviously not LEGO. Do you see doll parts, nerf darts, Pokémon cards, buttons, etc.? usually this is a good sign to me. It means no one has searched it. but it is a pain to filter through. Filth: Sometimes you can see how dirty and played with the bricks are. Most bulk will be dusty or dirty. Some will even have paint or marker on them. So with these factors, let's talk about how they factor into the valuation. an average lot is usually in the $4-$6 per lb range. Average lots show some partial sets, some minifigures, maybe a few instructions, relatively clean, with not a lot of obvious non LEGO stuff. Depending on the quality and quantity of the better stuff, you might increase your valuation, but remember you're not paying top dollar for what you see, because there's still a lot of work to come. Plus, you're going to get some amount of stuff you don't want. I have been known to go as low as $2-$3 a pound for stuff that had no obvious sets, mediocre looking or no obvious minifigures and excess junk. Then again, I have gone as high as $10 a lb for lots of minifigures and several mostly complete sets of some value. Some people stick to a hard $5 lb. Some lots of only minifigures I have seen sold for close to $100 lb. Figure out your comfort level and stick to it. Be prepared to have wasted your money on a big group of Mega Blocks. STEP 2: Sorting and figuring out what you have Once you get the lot, now you have to do something with it. Boxes full of bulk sitting in the garage is just hoarding. You're doing this to make your money work for you. So, I start by trying to pull out all the non LEGO, but also anything that gives me a good idea of what is there. Pull out minifigures, instructions, partial sets and set them aside. I bag the partial sets, with the minifigures and instructions wherever possible. I would never again sort by color. Finding a red 1x1 modified tile with clip in a big bag of red parts is much harder than looking through a bag of 1x1 modified tile with clips of assorted colors. Instead I start by throwing all the flats in one box. Slopes go in a second box. Bricks are a third box, etc. It's the most general sorting at first. As I go, I look for unique identifiers of sets like printed pieces or unusual shapes. Once the initial sorting is accomplished, I sort again by element. STEP 3: Completing sets The best way to make back the bulk of your purchase price is to complete the sets that you received. Some people will complete everything that they can, others disdain anything below a certain dollar amount. It's up to you how far down the rabbit hole that you are going to head. Once you get your sets, you need to figure out what is missing. Even if the set looks complete, it is best to verify. Some people will make substitutions in the middle of a set. Your customers may not appreciate substitutions, especially if there are megablocks in the middle of a build. So, it's time to take them apart to verify the inventory. If the sets are partial, you definitely should take them apart to figure out how much is missing. Look through your new bulk to see if you can find the rest. Focus on the expensive sets first. Check through your minifigures, instructions, and interesting pieces to see what sets may have been broken down entirely and see if they are worth reconstituting. You could do another survey of your bulk to see if the seemingly random bulk is hiding some treasure. I look for the part numbers on the interesting pieces. Finding the part number can be difficult, since it's usually inside of the LEGO piece and hard to spot, except with the right light. If the piece appears in multiple sets, I check for context with other pieces in the lot. Again, the interesting pieces generally have a unique shape, sticker or printing. If you can't complete them this way, or even with other bulk you might have, then you have to decide if sinking some more money into them is worthwhile. Does spending $10, $20, or $50 more make sense? Only you know for sure, but you've already dug a hole into your resources and time. It's either keep digging, or see if you can punt it off somewhere. I tend to try to get as many sets working at a time as I can. Hopefully this will help me to get the most missing pieces for the least orders. STEP 4: Dealing with the true bulk You're going to have leftovers after you pull out the stuff that is easiest to sell. You have several options. You could write it off. Put it back in a box and donate it or stick it in the garage, hoping to forget about it. This is generally the least appealing option to me. I've put time and money into this, so I want to recover something more than the tax write off or another box in the garage. Sell it as bulk. You could try to recover something from it by selling it all as a big lot, or even breaking it up into more manageable 1, 2, 5 or 10 lb lots. There's a lot of competition that way, but it's not super hard to do. Save the pieces to help you complete other sets in your next bulk lot. This is appealing because you already have it on hand. There's no guarantee that it will do the job, but at least you have a chance to cut down on further expenses. Sell the pieces individually through Bricklink or Ebay or some other venue. This is the most time consuming way to do it. It's also the way to get the most total value from the pieces, eventually. A lot of pieces may not sell quickly if at all, but you have a higher return on every piece that does sell. So, after all of that. You have to figure out whether it was worth it. If you made some money, or got some stuff that you wanted for less than the going rate, it will give you that rosy glow. It's fun to initially dig through all of that stuff searching for buried treasures. When you find something, it really does feel like it's all worthwhile. In the long hours of sorting, searching for pieces, and waiting for Bricklink orders it may be less fun. Waiting for the stuff to sell to recoup your costs is even less fun than that. I like to do it, but at the end of the day, the monetary returns vs. my time may not be the best. It may be the worst paying job that I have ever had. You really do need to have a plan for evaluating what you are buying and for dealing with it once you do. If you've never done it before, it may be overwhelming. It will take a little while to get more proficient. It's definitely not a quick buck, but money is there to be had. If you are disorganized, if you lose patience, if you don't have the time,you're just throwing money into a hole. May the bricks be ever in your favor. pictures are used to demonstrate example bulk lots from real auctions. View full blog article
    2 points
  25. Thanks to the help of some fellow BPers, this small project is now complete
    2 points
  26. Gotta admit, after the slower start I didn't think this raffle would ever sniff 50K. It's awesome to see the generosity of the members of this forum. As a punishment for being wrong, I guess I'll have to help try to push this over the edge...
    2 points
  27. Wow 27 supporters away from 1000 and $3,200 (approx) away from $50k raised. Impressive.
    2 points
  28. No. It is a great build.
    2 points
  29. Shipping to the Netherlands is more expensive than shipping to Germany (GBP 5.07). Obviously the Dutch "LEGO tax" applies to shipping, too.
    2 points
  30. I would love to see some of these older sets "updated" - a modern take on it, with new, modern parts
    2 points
  31. My kids could break pieces off an anvil, but The Tumbler stayed together ok for me when handling it from the under side.
    2 points
  32. Bought this set this week well after retirement. A but above MSRP hehe but as an AFOL I really wanted to have this set.... Received the set yesterday....the mint box gave me a big smile. The design is awesome....! This one will be build after Red 5.
    2 points
  33. Promotional set 1590 (ANWB Assistance Center). I know, I'm a child
    2 points
  34. One of the best all-time minifigure driven Lego sets in my opinion. Too bad it didn't forgo the fragile Bat-blade for a boat or more real estate.
    2 points
  35. 41101 Friends Heartlake Hotel: discount from 100 GBP to 52.50 GBP (47% off). See here. Free delivery in UK, shipping within Europe (at least, the Netherlands) 5.50 GBP.
    2 points
  36. 7783 The Batcave - phenomenal set, phenomenal figs.
    2 points
  37. My daughter's birthday is on the 7th. I'm taking off work that day and our first stop is the LEGO store.
    2 points
  38. I was just looking at the new bundles and the generosity of our Brickpicker members. These are some incredible prizes! Two weeks ago Jeff posted a link when the Sea Cow was available at Walmart. I grabbed three. Jeff basically put an easy $300 in my pocket with the post. Now it's time for me to return the favor and purchase some more raffle tickets. Please ask yourself how many countless times a Brickpicker member posted a deal or tip that saved you $$$. What about information that helps you determine when a set is approaching end of life? Would you be able to gather that information on your own? I know I wouldn't. It's time to give back. This community has been generous to each one of us. Let's return the favor. Just purchased $200 more in tickets ... please consider donating if you haven't already.
    2 points
  39. Don't forget Poe's XWing will always be popular around Halloween
    2 points
  40. I just got back to your site today having moved from Holland to Canada, and adding a new set to my brickfolio (I like it a lot!). What a great way to come back, with a raffle! I donated a little something to help a litlle bit. And just my thoughts for someone who might not be inclined to help a religious school: I grew up as a RC kid. Went to RC schools. As a 30 something I renounced my RC-ism for reasons all my own. I respect anyone in their religion, I just don't believe the church is my thing. But I _am_ a humanist. I went on to send my kid to RC schools. Why? Because the RC schools I was involved are most open to any other religion in my humble opinion, I was thaught about all the other religions and a-theism in RC schools in quite an open fashion. The last RC school my kid was at was an open supporter of the in-school LGBT organisation. What is important here is to support a good school through the efforts of the wonderful admins of this great site. It's not about hate in this world, it's about a little help here and there. Hopefully as humans, through things like this we'll get there* in the end.... *) fill in your personal choice of "heaven/paradise/........ " on earth in the here and now
    2 points
  41. If we hit $50,000.00, I will make those MYSTERY BOXES SPECIAL!!!
    2 points
  42. $40,000! This is fantastic! How about $50,000? We have two and a half days!!!
    2 points
  43. First images of new 2016 sets leaked! Despite "no picture" signs... On display: Box-images: Star Wars Advent Calendar 2016: (Source: http://www.hothbricks.com/2016/01/nouveautes-star-wars-second-semestre-2016-premiers-visuels-sets/ )
    2 points
  44. Welcome to the 2nd edition of the Best of Brick Classifieds - Weekly Deals. This week features 10 great deals from trusted vendors, including 2 listings for new, sealed bag, open box sets. Open box sets often provide outstanding value to collectors looking for their favorite set. This week's deals include some of the best available online pricing and represent popular themes including: Creator and Creator Modular Buildings Star Wars and Star Wars UCS DC Super Heroes Ninjago Friends Trains City LEGO Creator Town Hall #10224 by FlipBricks $499 + free shipping LEGO DC Superheroes Superman vs. Power Armor Lex #6862 by Everything is Awesome $17.99 + 6.95 shipping LEGO Ninjago Ultra Sonic Raider #9449 by 7777s Dragon Bricks (new, sealed bags, no box) $82 + free shipping LEGO Creator 3-in-1Family House #31012 by LOCO4LEGO $80 + free shipping LEGO Star Wars UCS Super Star Destroyer #10221 by Creature Shop (new, sealed bags, open box) $875 + free global shipping LEGO Friends Heartlake Vet #3188 by Miillers Toy Box $100 + $10 shipping LEGO City Train Station #7937 by Everything is Awesome $59.99 + $11.95 shipping LEGO DC Superheroes The Batcave 10 set lot + DVD Combo by The Hidden Brick $355 + $16.95 shipping LEGO Star Wars Jabba's Palace + Rancor Pit Combo Lot #9516 + #75005 by BRICKS4FUN $229.99 + $18 shipping LEGO Maersk Train #10219 by Little Shop of Horrors $240.00 + $18 shipping View full blog article
    1 point
  45. We just passed 40k!!! This thing is popping like it just retired and the horde didn't have time to stock up. Who can say 50k? I can. Let's do it.
    1 point
  46. You should try eBay. After fees you will net a better price than Amazon right now and you don't have to take a hit on the shipping charges. I sold most of mine this month around $120 plus actual shipping. CAGR be darned, I doubled my initial investment in 18 months since I bought them for $49 on clearance at Walmart. I'll take that any day.
    1 point
  47. Where Are They Now? is an ongoing blog series dedicated to analyzing specific high-profile Lego sets that have been targeted for investment and sold out / retired a year or more in the past. The idea is to review and summarize a wide range of investment factors surrounding the set a few months before, during, and after it stopped becoming available at retail prices... then look at the financial performance of the set thus far, and perhaps discover a clue about future growth and/or similar sets yet to retire. I absolutely have to begin with the Lego exclusive set that blew the doors off the investment world in Fall of 2014: Town Hall. Released: March 2012 Last Available (US): October 2014 Months Availabile: 31 Retail Price (US): $199.99 Pieces: 2766 Minifigures: 8 A Little History The modular building series, starting in 2007 with Cafe Corner, quickly became extremely popular with both AFOLs and investors, rivaling Star Wars UCS as the well known "Top of the Line" Lego sets. Those first two buildings, including Green Grocer, were only available for a little over 2 years each which helps explain their astronomical appreciation. However, by the time late 2014 arrived, a pattern had obviously been established in most investor's minds that the rest of the series was sticking around approximately 4 years per set. Fire Brigade had departed in late 2013 after 4 years, Grand Emporium was several months past its 4th anniversary (and expected to retire), and Pet Shop had been available for 3.5 already. Virtually no one had Town Hall on their radar as a candidate for retirement at the time. A few savvy individuals opened their eyes in Spring 2014 when it went temporarily out of stock, but the vast majority were non-believers and focused their attention and wallets elsewhere. Popular Opinion This modular series centerpiece was also a poor seller in comparison to its brethren as it sat "gathering dust" on store shelves. Partial evidence of this fact was observed by many (including yours truly) that seal codes on these boxes were commonly a year or more old, while others in the modular series had been produced only a few months or even weeks prior to being offered at retail. Apparently Town Hall just wasn't selling. Take a look at the date stamps on posts 6 and 7 in the official Brickpicker thread to see how ignored this set was. Several possible reasons for the lack of popularity, especially as an investment, include: The $200 (US) price point - significantly higher than the other modular options available at the time. A large box that takes up significantly more space than other modulars. An arguably "ugly orange" / "boring" design, with less aesthetic appeal than many would like. Clear expectation that it would be available for at least another year. Now, Pay Attention... On Oct 1, 2014 Town Hall went to backordered status at LEGO Shop at Home, then Toys'R'Us online went out of stock. The next day, Target sold out, and Lego status when to Sold Out as well, followed by Walmart (all according to reports made in our Town Hall thread). Eyebrows were officially raised, especially given the then-recent quick disappearance of Haunted House, when many expected that set to stay widely available through Halloween. But still a large number of investors thought it was unwarranted panic, citing the double VIP point promotion as well as the in-and-out of stock "dance" that Grand Emporium had been doing for much of the year without actually retiring. That's when our illustrious troll-guru leader Ed Mack dropped an atom bomb disguised as a feather, on page 7: "Very soon, this will be the busiest thread on the site." Part Nostradamus classic, perhaps part self-fulfilling prophecy, this statement became more than true and the thread exploded over the next few days as investors and end users everywhere slowly but surely realized the huge ugly orange wedding chapel was actually going away... and maybe... just maybe... they wanted one (or several) after all. Last available on Oct. 4 from Lego US / Canada, occasional small batches of stock popped up at various retailers, both online and physical, for over a month... but you had to be very lucky or a truly dedicated soul (wearing out your F5 key or weaving scripting magic) to catch one of these opportunities. There was a final production run in weeks 38-39, corresponding to late September, that trickled out (primarily to resellers) during October. It seemingly was not too extensive, however. Show Me the Money! Meanwhile, eBay prices shot up into the $300-$350 range within a day.The Brickpicker Price Guide reflected this huge surprise retirement factor as New 10224 values reached $400 before Christmas and climbed steadily to the $530 range in Spring of 2015, before leveling off for several months. Some investors were happy to buy in at over 2x MSRP, predicting continued growth in late 2015, which simply hasn't happened. Still, the set currently shows a 25% CAGR, outstanding by almost any measure. New prices have seemingly stabilized around $550 on Amazon, $500 on eBay, and $450 on Bricklink for the time being. Brick Classifieds currently follows suit. A substantial increase in Used values occurred on eBay (U.S.) from around $250 to $400 late last summer, continuing up to $450 now. It should be noted that the rest of the eBay world seems to have an approximate 20% premium on New over Used sets, a much wider gap than the U.S., and certainly closer to "normal". However, average Used sales over the last six months are $400 on Bricklink as well, proving strong demand for opened Town Halls. Perhaps end users hit their financial limit later this year, choosing to accept pre-owned copies at nearly half the price instead... so many doing so, in fact, that buying competition drove the Used price up to nearly New values. Another factor could be that this set is quite difficult to piece together, reportedly commanding about $500 for all pieces and instructions (no box), before adding multiple shipping and handling charges. Do we assume New prices will begin the inevitable climb upward again soon? Or will Used values dip back down a bit first as Americans realize the relatively small difference right now? One would think the gap should widen again, one way or another. From a longer-term perspective, will there be another huge increase in Town Hall values at some point in the next year or two? Or will it simply rise steadily, seeking four-digit sales (then returns) closer to 2020? No one can say for sure, but it IS going to gain value again. The only questions are how fast and how far. Several seasoned investors believe this is one of a very small number of "special" sets released in the past few years that have the potential to reach the $1000 mark. Some optimists were even hoping it would approach that threshold in late 2015. The one wild card in the game which could completely invalidate such bullish predictions is the possibility of a remake. I certainly don't see that happening, but I doubt anyone could have guessed over a year ago that Winter Toy Shop would be remade, either. If Lego ever decided to duplicate Town Hall, the value of 10224 would obviously drop like a rock. What to Do with Mine? If you are holding and can afford it, my personal advice is to keep holding. The relatively low supply of this set compared to so many other exclusives should make it an even bigger winner in the long run. Simply out-waiting sellers who are happy to take 3x their buy-in is a path to more profit for the rest of us. As more and more of these get bought and opened, a sealed Town Hall will become more of a collector's item, vaguely similar to Cafe Corner and Green Grocer before it. Of course it will never catch those sets in value, but it is a virtual lock for the "bronze medal" of modular building investments. On the other hand, if you are a buyer who missed out... seriously consider looking for a current "deal" (whether new or used), and get yours soon. It is only a matter of time before this set keeps rising in value, and if there is another big jump, you will avoid several hundred dollars of regret by acting now. I believe we are in a temporary "lull" with Town Hall's value (especially New), and if so, the more buyers that take advantage of it, the sooner the lull will be over, financially benefiting those who do. I definitely do not recommend picking up this set at current prices as a pure investment anymore, however, as fresher and more predictable opportunities are widely available. The Big Picture: Above all, realize - if you don't already - that Town Hall in many ways kicked off the maelstrom of CHAOS representing a marked change in Lego retirement (and production) schedules. Many investors "learned their lesson" when caught empty-handed with(out) this set, and adjusted their strategies to accumulate target stock numbers on subsequent exclusives earlier and more gradually. Of course, some were doing this already, and happen to have been proven smarter in this particular case. One only need glance at Pet Shop, Death Star, Tower Bridge, and T1 Camper Van to see that a strategy which works best for one set may not work for others, however. Whatever your budget and investment angle, use the retirement of Town Hall as a reminder that anything can happen, and that when the truly unexpected occurs, historical gains may be had. Additionally, avoiding the herd/horde mentality is proving to be more and more of a wise choice, starting most noticeably in the months prior to the day of infamy when 10224 became the busiest thread on the site! Special thanks to the following individuals for suggestions and editing help: jaisonline
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