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Just seeing this now on Brickset. Looks excellent! I love that they have added 3 minifigures, as well as a (sticker?) of a classroom board. What do you guys/gals think?

Also, the wife ran upstairs...here comes Fedex...no knock, tower bridges put downstairs with nobody the wiser.

Howabout some new talking points!!! So Ill jump in with the OP with some of my pics for worst performing sets of the ones that have come or will come out in 2014: 1. 70724 - Ninjago Copter: I liked this set when it came out. However, I have heard a lot of negative feedback and this set has sold pretty terrible for me. I loved the figs - but now most of them are in other sets. The actual vehicle is weird looking and almost out of place. 2. 75055 - Star Destroyer: I was really excited when I first saw this set. However now - not so much. Nothing really that much new with it, smaller than the original and at $130 way overpriced compared to others. A lot of people don't remember the last Star Destroyer (MIDI) did not do well. And you can say "MIDI sucks though"! But the MIDI Falcon did pretty well. Overall I am not going to touch this one (except to build it). 3. 75058 MTT: Really the same problems as the one above. Smaller, looks incorrect compared to the original. The first was a huge investment winner, but I just don't feel like this one will be. 10 years past the prequels, how popular will this be? 4. 79117 Big Turtle Lair Invasion Set: I have a hunch the movie will not do well. The first turtle wave didn't seem to really take off and now there are 9 more sets clogging up the realms. Though the biggest set in a theme usually does well, this one just looks weird. Its a bigger version of the first one and less impressive in my book. Weird colors and a myriad of randomness. Only saving grace is the badass slide. 5. 75060 UCS Slave 1 - Just joking, this one will rule.

amen brother. my wife is a doc and worked her read-end off. for decades even before collecting an actual paycheck. there wasn't much pink or purple in her hard work.

The Brick Fan

Cedar Point is the best. Top Thrill Dragster and Millennium Force are ridiculous. Raptor is great too. I think they have more coasters than anyone. I love the giant arcade too.

71 Charger 70 Cuda

When it comes to investing in BIG sets it is common opinion that NONE of them will ever be a real loser. This is my opinion, too, but there are some popular big sets I think are fairly overrated and will in the end "lose" the race for becoming big investment winners after EOL. I do not intend to p*ss anyone off here, criticising their favorite sets. But as it is a common practice in this forum to tell people to "buy, buy, buy!" I thought it might not be a bad idea to make people think again about buying at least in some cases. In the end, of course, this is also to tell you my opinion on sets I just don't understand why they are being hyped the was they are - and to get to know what you think about it. The following sets released in 2014 might - in my opinion - become disappointments after EOL (for the following reasons): 1. MetalBeard's Sea Cow (70810) (My undisputed 1st place on this list. While I do have reservations about the whole LEGO Movie theme, this Cow imo might become an absolute grave for investors' money - maybe the only big set of 2014 you could indeed LOSE money on. Why: Ships generally have a very good reputation as investments - also for me -, my problem with this one here is that it is just "way too fantasy" and simply over the top - which worked in the movie but doesn't work for a set (you invest your bucks in). Neither is it a real ship nor a pirate ship nor is it looking like a historical one. How is any AFOL going to want this after EOL, when the movie hype is over? I mean even for fans of the movie, I don't see too many people pony up $250. Plus it is a LEGO own theme, which is ambiguous on its own already. Has there ever been a set from one of their own themes this expensive?) 2. The Simpsons House (71006) (The main issues here for me are the price and the target group. As a set it looks quite good and accurate to the series, I think, and Simpsons fans will surely love it. BUT: besides them - who else? Furthermore the series is (long) past its peak. It might be in its 20th season but interest is nothing like in the 90s. Anyone investing 200 dollars now might not get their money back for a long time, I fear.) 3. Sandcrawler (75059) (I don't get why people like this set: it is brown, it is clumsy, it is ugly, it has never been an especially popular vehicle in the movies. And even now while being on the market I can't imagine too many people spending 300 bucks on this thing. Not to mention post-EOL performance. Even if you see it as a play set in the first place - which it is supposed to be, I guess. It just does not convince me to spend any money on it. And by the way: I AM a fan of the LEGO Star Wars theme...) 4. Fairground Mixer (10244) (Yes, it might be the beginning of a new summer theme and yes, it might be a cool design idea and cool to construct - but, well, aesthetically it doesn't convince me at all. I saw it built in a LEGO shop and I have to say: That thing looks even more confusing live than it does on the package. If you don't know the name of this set and you look at it, it might actually take up to half a minute to get an idea what this "multi-colored set-up" could be all about. The Mixer might be nice for kids to play, but as an investment? No.) 5. Cargo Plane (42025) (If you asked me I'd say: Don't waste your money on this! While it seems like a good investement at first glance, I doubt this set will ever become popular among TECHNIC fans and even among European TECHNIC fans. From what I know, TECHNIC enthusiasts love construction site equipment! Not too much besides that. Anything flying is quite rare is this theme - for a reason. Have a look at the EOL-gone Helicopter (9396): For a short time people thought it would really "take off" now it is retired, but the value graph tells another story - down from $130 to $100 in just TWO months. My conclusion: TECHNIC don't fly.) Looking forward to your opinions and your personal list!

This could be the coolest thing ever. Link

why do you guys need so many coupons, i've been using the same 30% off kids club coupon for literally months, i just pull it up on my phone, they type it in, and it keeps working

Any lego pirates stuff of mine had grey cutlasses but I did see this thread on euro bricks from a while back with a few interesting pictures. http://www.eurobricks.com/forum/index.php?showtopic=7669&st=75 It mentions a Malaysian lego clone... Maybe this is it?

I just grabbed 2 more GE from toys r us. Still some left I think

Phht... try building SSD or Tower Bridge...

Retirement thread for GE hijacked.

Maersk Train, $260 shipped. Not bad for 1 year.

Glad you guys brought that up, it`s great to see more sets that work to even out the gender balance. Not all girls go for the pink, and it`s nice that Lego appears to have realized that with a set like this. At $20-$25 it`s reasonably priced as well, hopefully they decide to make more. If it is limited availability, I see plastic gold here.

There were 12 or so of these little builds in the original cuusoo submission, I wonder if they're planning on producing the others if this one does well?

Great news today! I heard from Lego LEGO Shop at Home and they honored my order which got blocked a week ago. Apparantly I got unblocked (unbanned) for whatever reason. Maybe because I called and tried to reason with them. Thanks to all you well wishers for your support in this thread. I will tread lightly in the next few months ordering from the LEGO Shop at Home.

Honestly, this might be me with the Sea Cow. My stepson has been asking for it ever since he saw it in the Lego catalog. If we decide to get it for him for christmas this year I'll be able to better evaluate it after helping him build it.

So would I, I'd like to sell my FBs for

To be fair, the OP's list is really "sets that should theoretically do well, but won't for the following reasons." Everything except the technic set are exclusives.

In-store, but I'm not sure about S@H.

Ooo, a spider-weed! Here's your pumpkin head. Too bad you can't stick a couple of those small bull horn pieces on the sides of their heads to perfect the visage of verocity.

I personally disagree with the lot but I also disagree with a lot of posts on here. Like all investments it depends what you buy in for. Regardless of my personal opinions ( not a steampunk nor Simpsons fan) I think each of these sets look amazing with their own uniqueness. Hate all you want but I think Lego has lifted the bar and the sets will do well. All that is needed is a little patience...

If you can only afford to keep them for 3 or 4 months, then you cannot afford to buy all of them. It seems many on this site are investing money that they will need within 12 months. That strategy usually never ends well.

Have any background on these thoughts? 1. You think Benny's Spaceship is going to basically (whatever the hell X11 is) in 10 years? You realize only like 15 sets have ever hit 1000$ right? And none that were developed since like 2007. It would be way eaiser for the Sea Cow to hit that (and it wont) . I love when people trash talk the Bwing. Its gained almost 100$ in the last year and is still easily growing (just retired in October/November). Id love to have more Bwing sets: Sets I got a crap load of at $125 and expect that will hit 400$-500$ in 2-3 years. 3. Thoughts on why? I mean, there aren't too many big Star Wars sets that haven't done well (besides Grievous and the Starfighter - and the Sandcrawler destroys those.)

I don't think it's an indicator of retirement. It's sorted by availability then item number. For example the Camper is sat above the 'check for availability' which is sat above the 'sold out' sets, in turn these are in numerical set order. Once stock comes back for the camper it will return further up the list, probably sorted by 'new items'

Big point is - that you are getting at - Would anything surprise anyone anymore?

And 8941 - Rockoh T3 Last week I bought $360 (used BP price total) of Bionicle and Hero Factory used for $80 and this was in there half still in sealed bags. Was gonna flip the lot my I couldn't resist giving it all to my kids to play with. Sent from my iPod touch using Brickpicker

60s Camaro SS would be sweet Sent from my Unknown using Brickpicker mobile app

GIVE THAT MAN A WITCH HEAD!

Fighting for scraps, are we?

worst decision i made in lego investing this year was not to keep damaged ssd's. keep them for now. you have 90 days to take them back to walmart. best case scenario they come back in stock from a new production run in the next 90 days and you return the turds or try and squeeze out a discount. worst case scenario, you have dinged up SEALED ssd's that if you hold onto a little longer you will stay make a lot of money. so you have a 3 month "option" on these ssd's. don't go shorting that market.

Looks like a great summer. First the SSD, then VC off of tru website, and now GE gone from LEGO Shop at Home!

TB ordered from ebay pawn shop for $210 shows up with some extra creases and dents in box not mentioned in description. Notice that someone else has returned this TB too in the last week probably for same reason. Asked for $60 discount or returning (with shipping at seller's expense). Got $60 discount so even though missed out WM TB deal still got a nice dinged up sealed TB for only $150 no tax or shipping - yeehaw!

I laughed at these but my son loves them and is missing a few here and there. I now need to pounce and finish off his collection so I don't get in a trap in the secondary market. I can definitely imagine a scenario where they are all sold out at Xmas and parents will shell out $15-20 per pack of the one they need they can no longer get. I'm not going to stockpile them but I don't think it is nuts if someone does. They are a breeze to ship and could be easy money.

Too bad Friends minifigs can't sit on them. Could have done Friends Shopping Mall - Invasion from Hell

I went to my Wally World to buy some pool chemicals. As always I had to check the lego aisle. I saw a lone bat cave sitting there with no tag. I scanned it on my phone. Nothing came up. I scanned it on the in store scanner. Again, nothing came up. I saw an employee scanning some items a few aisles away. She scanned it, and said it wasn't in the system anymore. If I wanted it she could mark it down to $35. Score! I asked if they had anymore. Sadly, they did not. I already have several of these bought around $50, which I feel was a good price. Getting one for $35 made my day.

The OP has every right to express his opinion. I think he is wrong on all counts. Each of the sets he listed is rather unique to the LEGO world, so they usually stand out and appreciate quite well. They are also big sets, which helps. I don't see the logic in comparing them to other quality sets like the Maersk Triple E or Parisian Restaurant. There is room for all to appreciate very well. I put all of these sets in the same category...winners.

Assuming people still care about lego when it retires, sandcrawler will do just fine.

The Sandcrawler will be the only one of these I own, in the short-term. I may pick up a Simpson's House if the mood strikes me. The Sea Cow, we'll see, it's one to watch. I'll have a Fairground Mixer eventually. We mid-westerners are all carny's at heart.

So Luis, what do you feel like eating for lunch today?.......................Italian.

Here is more of what I would try and Bricklink:

We can't assume any of these sets are great sellers, true, but your point of LEGO extending set lives to 6 years was based off of one set, the 10188. There have been over 10,000 LEGO sets produced, and even if 10 or 20 had a 6 year shelf life, that is an outlier. The 10188 is an exception...for now. In no way am I knocking the 10188. I have pointed out many times that bang for your buck, it is one of the best sets LEGO ever developed and sold. Maybe LEGO is changing their philosophy on retiring sets. Time will tell. My original point was that by retiring LEGO sets, it makes them more valuable than if they were never or rarely retired. Sure, it helps the investors of the world as well, but most of all, this value after EOL helps LEGO itself. If an item is perceived as valuable after it is retired, more often than not, the same would be true when the item is being sold by primary retailers. It is much easier to sell a $400 LEGO set to an AFOL if they believe that the LEGO set will be worth more money one day than they paid for it. How many $400 boxes of plastic would LEGO sell if the pieces became almost worthless after opening the box like many toys? Not many. The primary and secondary markets compliment one another and the retiring of sets is a key component to it all.

I think of a price I'll be satisfied with sometime in the future. I'll go ahead and list the item at that price and then leave it until it sells. Sometimes it's 2 minutes, 2 weeks, and sometimes it's 2 years.

I built the mystery box this weekend. The mystery box could be anything, it could even be a boat. Turns out that it actually was a boat 10210 is an impressive build, has great details and it displays well (I am missing two brown technic barrels for a sail, but those are easy to replace). The organ was a nice addition and I really appreciate that the galley and cannon areas were designed to be detachable in the same manner that the floors of a modular building are. This is a build that really comes together nicely and at 30" by 24", it takes up a lot of space. A great buy, especially at $160 under the BP price

It's not a deal breaker, but for the person who is an investor and a collector, the free promo is worth something. It is much easier to buy a Lego set from LEGO Shop at Home and get a free promo than to buy it off eBay for $20+.

For all us old farts out there... this is what came to my mind. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-7_uwFcI8JE Not quite HH, but that one creepy house on a nice suburban street.

John Hancock has done very well for itself since it's retirement. Sipping margaritas and chillin on the beach. Sungnemun has done alright as well, but not to the same extent. I think John Hancock surprised a lot of people, it's selling over 5x retail, not sure if these newer ones will do as well but I am willing to settle for 3-4x regardless.