Winter village market... following footsteps of wvc... 2 season shelf life

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Nope

. Ah yes I forgot ToO

I need to go to the Y and jog this off which i will be doing shortly.  Myself and my pocket book are sweating.

If we are thinking he is talking about "more to retire" then the list would be (by likelihood)

HH,GE,SC

TH,HE,ToO

selection of PS,EEE,VW,AA,TB, R2D2, Red5

 

DS is not retiring of course

 

SSD is already retired, no surprises there

Red5?

Kingdoms Joust most likely will be gone. LEGO has no reason to keep it around.

. Ah yes I forgot ToO

Still false....

Kingdoms Joust most likely will be gone. LEGO has no reason to keep it around.

Edit:And 4x4 Crawler will be gone-I don't believe he was meaning mainstream large exclusives.

Edited October 30, 201411 yr by Young_Gun21

What kind of readiness is Ed proposing... Borrow more money?

In addition to more random retirements, my guess is that Lego may move all exclusives in-house to Shop at Home and the Lego Stores. This would hurt the big resellers the most as they would be held to Lego's buying limits. If Lego wanted, they could even start handing out vouchers ("golden tickets") to buy exclusives as a further way to track/limit our purchases. Just my two cents based on Ed's prognostications.

 

Could be.  Repackage the ones not being retired in new boxes w/ Golden tickets, good for something yet unknown, and retire the rest. As specualtive as anything else, but could certainly see that happening.

 

In addition to more random retirements, my guess is that Lego may move all exclusives in-house to Shop at Home and the Lego Stores. This would hurt the big resellers the most as they would be held to Lego's buying limits. If Lego wanted, they could even start handing out vouchers ("golden tickets") to buy exclusives as a further way to track/limit our purchases. Just my two cents based on Ed's prognostications.

Not too sure about the exclusives in house thing. Especially since Canada got a bunch of stores carrying the "Hard to Finds" just this year. Before this year it was just TRU and Lego itself.

 

Walmart.ca, Amazon.ca, Mastermindtoys.ca - all got exclusives this year, some within the past couple weeks. It's certainly possible! but i can't see Lego giving them the go ahead to stock them when they have a master plan to make all exclusives in house in the upcoming future, but who knows.

And how should golden tickets work?

In addition to more random retirements, my guess is that Lego may move all exclusives in-house to Shop at Home and the Lego Stores. This would hurt the big resellers the most as they would be held to Lego's buying limits. If Lego wanted, they could even start handing out vouchers ("golden tickets") to buy exclusives as a further way to track/limit our purchases. Just my two cents based on Ed's prognostications.

That would make a lot of sense from Lego's perspective.  I've never seen any exclusives at retail, except for Lego stores, so this wouldn't change things for your average consumer too much.

In addition to more random retirements, my guess is that Lego may move all exclusives in-house to Shop at Home and the Lego Stores. This would hurt the big resellers the most as they would be held to Lego's buying limits. If Lego wanted, they could even start handing out vouchers ("golden tickets") to buy exclusives as a further way to track/limit our purchases. Just my two cents based on Ed's prognostications.

 

As a new poster McLovin may be on to something. Not the golden tickets but Shipped & Sold by Lego Only.

NMM keeps talking about how he is interested in the renewal of the Exclusives pricing policy in January 2015 so that nothing goes below MSRP.

What if that ties to those products and Lego would decide not to renew the agreements specifically in the US where they have a great distribution channel of their own as opposed to some other countries.

 

What if Lego sells all exclusives direct only.

 

That would solve NMM's problem and that would be the Chaos that Ed the Chaos Bringer is discussing.

 

That would make the value of the Town Hall and many other sets as far as us owning them rise significantly over time as the aftermarket resellers have lost their easy sources for more exclusives.

 

Ed is watching and waiting for the other shoe to drop and I have a feeling we will see it drop before Christmas.

 

OK I am probably wrong again but that is another track it could follow.

Well prepped here. 2014 is going to be epic. Retirement (my own) got bumped up a few years

 

I am guessing SSD, GE, TH, TB, WVM, Joust, ToO, AA, SC, HH

And how should golden tickets work?

The point wasn't the golden tickets, it's that Lego may no longer sell exclusives through Amazon, Target, Walmart, etc.

When Ed Mack talks about chaos and big changes and warns us to be prepared, I don't think he's referring to Kingdom Joust retiring.

Red5?

Big XWing

Well prepped here. 2014 is going to be epic. Retirement (my own) got bumped up a few years

 

I am guessing SSD, GE, TH, TB, WVM, Joust, ToO, AA, SC, HH

I would say 7-8/10

The point wasn't the golden tickets, it's that Lego may no longer sell exclusives through Amazon, Target, Walmart, etc.

When Ed Mack talks about chaos and big changes and warns us to be prepared, I don't think he's referring to Kingdom Joust retiring.

 

 

 

I agree I think Ed's use of the Town Hall thread to muse is purely subterfuge (said respectfully)

The point wasn't the golden tickets, it's that Lego may no longer sell exclusives through Amazon, Target, Walmart, etc.

When Ed Mack talks about chaos and big changes and warns us to be prepared, I don't think he's referring to Kingdom Joust retiring.

Ok - not the big problem for me - bought everything over LEGO Shop at Home and in stores. And its not a big problem  

Red 5 standing by...

Selling only through LEGO's own system would be a complete game changer. Would stock still be the same and last longer as only LEGO is selling? Less stock? On the other hand none of the newly released sets have been sold by other reatailers.

The problem is they need more storage - more storage - more costs - more people for shipping etc.

It's that Lego may no longer sell exclusives through Amazon, Target, Walmart, etc.

This may or may not happen, but there is one sign that is has started to happen in the US. I have noticed that there is one exclusive that is only sold in Lego stores and LEGO Shop at Home, and that set is the 10241 Maersk Triple-E. I could not find it for sale by any other retailers like Amazon, Target, etc. This could be a sign of more sets becoming like the Triple-E.

As a new poster McLovin may be on to something. Not the golden tickets but Shipped & Sold by Lego Only.

NMM keeps talking about how he is interested in the renewal of the Exclusives pricing policy in January 2015 so that nothing goes below MSRP.

What if that ties to those products and Lego would decide not to renew the agreements specifically in the US where they have a great distribution channel of their own as opposed to some other countries.

 

What if Lego sells all exclusives direct only.

 

That would solve NMM's problem and that would be the Chaos that Ed the Chaos Bringer is discussing.

 

That would make the value of the Town Hall and many other sets as far as us owning them rise significantly over time as the aftermarket resellers have lost their easy sources for more exclusives.

 

Ed is watching and waiting for the other shoe to drop and I have a feeling we will see it drop before Christmas.

 

OK I am probably wrong again but that is another track it could follow.

Interesting theory, but I'm voting no on this one.  TLG has admitted that it's not set up to be a large scale direct-to-customer distributor, and is a bit of a fish out of water in that regard.  That job belongs to Walmart, Amazon, etc.  While it's possible that TLG continues to expand it's distribution network as the company grows, it would make more send to leave that task to the big boys while TLG focuses on production.  (Hello, shortages).  If anything, I could see the big change being to offer fewer products through the stores & shop-at-home website.

 

Admittedly, I don't see how this would tie into a big change for resellers that Ed is hinting at.  I think that's more related to which sets are retiring this year.

Occam's razor (also written as Ockham's razor and in Latin lex parsimoniae) is a problem-solving principle devised by William of Ockham (c. 1287