I'm really new to all this and it said shipping on october 25th on shop.lego.com canada as of last week, but now it's sold out!?!?

I just want to buy this set for myself.. no investment or anything, please, tell me I can still get this set at retail price somewhere!  

Keep an eye on amazon and SAH. It will come back sporadically.

Keep an eye on amazon and SAH. It will come back sporadically.

For what it's worth.  Received my ToO ordered 10/13 from S&H along with train in perfect condition, but with Factory seals of 40R5.  The ones received from Target's last restock few days ago, 23R5.

For what it's worth.  Received my ToO ordered 10/13 from S&H along with train in perfect condition, but with Factory seals of 40R5.  The ones received from Target's last restock few days ago, 23R5.

Those seals are very new and probably last production run so, yeah, expect more to trickle through to other outlets.

I personally believe this set is both over-bought and over-valued.  Maybe not overseas, but I don't believe there is a ton of demand because there simply isn't anywhere near the LOTR fanbase for LEGO as their are for the movies or books.  Not even comparable to Star Wars or Lego Super Heroes.  Maybe AFOLs will have some interest in the future, but of the thousands of these maybe the one thing that will keep them up in value will be the colors and design.. I personally just don't see the demand there.  LEGO group is bringing these exclusives back for the nth time now and unless you're holding for years you may not get more than $50 out of them for a $350 sale when all is said and done, and that could take 2 years.  It could be another Helms Deep, rises and then stagnates for years.

Edited October 20, 201510 yr by JRandall

For what it's worth.  Received my ToO ordered 10/13 from S&H along with train in perfect condition, but with Factory seals of 40R5.  The ones received from Target's last restock few days ago, 23R5.

Mine also came in today with seal code 40R5.  LEGO Shop at Home order.

I personally believe this set is both over-bought and over-valued.  Maybe not overseas, but I don't believe there is a ton of demand because there simply isn't anywhere near the LOTR fanbase for LEGO as their are for the movies or books.  Not even comparable to Star Wars or Lego Super Heroes.  Maybe AFOLs will have some interest in the future, but of the thousands of these maybe the one thing that will keep them up in value will be the colors and design.. I personally just don't see the demand there.  LEGO group is bringing these exclusives back for the nth time now and unless you're holding for years you may not get more than $50 out of them for a $350 sale when all is said and done, and that could take 2 years.  It could be another Helms Deep, rises and then stagnates for years.

I agree. This one is a dust collector.

I agree. This one is a dust collector.

This can be either good or bad news. 

I agree. This one is a dust collector.

Is money dust now? Anyone that wants to sell at MSRP right now will probably find a lot of buyers, including me.

No one will want these, best to sell now...

Is money dust now? Anyone that wants to sell at MSRP right now will probably find a lot of buyers, including me.

selling at MSRP after buying at MSRP results in a net loss scenario which i am thinking no one will do unless they are desperately wanting to get out of the game 

Apparently Amazon won't let me buy any more (shipping glitch) so they are making up my mind for me. I probably have enough already though.

No one will want these, best to sell now...

I would but I'm too embarrassed to make it public that I already bought this turd. I'm such a fool. Now they're just gonna sit there for years, worthless.

anyone want to get rid of theirs? I am interested in buying 10 at MSRP. Only in 
Montreal area.  

This set reminds me of the ugly girl/boy friend you had in high school, who you see 4 years later and wished you had stuck around.

I agree. This one is a dust collector.

Well, yesterday i sold my first out of 8 for 280 Euros. Buy in was 180… so exactly 100 Euros profit. (no fees!)

From now on i love dust!

selling at MSRP after buying at MSRP results in a net loss scenario which i am thinking no one will do unless they are desperately wanting to get out of the game 

I was obviously being both sarcastic and making a point. I'm honestly just a little incredulous that some investors in this thread are unhappy with their ToOs and think it is fair to say that it wouldn't be hard to unload them at a break even point if they think it is going to be such a dud.

 

This set will become the new Diagon Alley in a few years.

This set will become the new Diagon Alley in a few years.

What do the history books tell us on that set? (I'm still relatively new)

This set will become the new Diagon Alley in a few years.

now we are going into "wishful thinking" and "utopia"

disclaimer: Past Performance is Not Necessarily Indicative of Future Results 

I was obviously being both sarcastic and making a point. I'm honestly just a little incredulous that some investors in this thread are unhappy with their ToOs and think it is fair to say that it wouldn't be hard to unload them at a break even point if they think it is going to be such a dud.

 

You know sometimes it's really hard to tell a sarcasm, a joke... online when people can't see one's expression or hear the tone of one's voice. I do believe there's a need for a sarcasm sign, at least an emoji... lol

No one will want these, best to sell now...

Honestly don't even sell them. Just find anyone who will take one and just get rid of it. The boxes have too many fall colors (it's almost winter), they take up too much shelf space, and it doesn't even come with a single hobbit, elf or dwarf minifigure. They're your whole demographic. 

This one is a stinkfest.

Here's how i see this set.

Some AFOL's want a set that non-lego fans will see and say, "WHOA,,,,that's Lego?"

They want an impressive display piece.

They want something that looks screen accurate.

This is the ONLY set from the LOTR / Hobbit series that accomplishes most of those requirements. (maybe the Unexpected Gathering does at a smaller scale)

 

You know sometimes it's really hard to tell a sarcasm, a joke... online when people can't see one's expression or hear the tone of one's voice. I do believe there's a need for a sarcasm sign, at least an emoji... lol

like this?

like this?

exactly the one I had in mind.