If not what is your pick for '2013 Set of the Year' for investing purposes.  There is competition from other sets released this year: Tower of Orthanc, Ewok Villiage, Delorean, etc...but 5yrs from now, which set will you predict to be Top Dog in terms of ROI (cash or %)?   

I think that the 4X4 Crawler will be the set of the year for investing. I think that the second place could go to either the Ewok Village or the Tower of Orthanc. The 4X4 Crawler has provided great returns already and it was only released sixteen days ago.

The Tower Bridge if it goes EOL soon.  If not, the Tower of Orthanc.  Ewoks are not for me at that price, sorry.

B-Wing baby 

B-Wing baby 

That was a really good deal on May 4^th and May 5^th.

I am gonna say either the B-Wing or the 4X4. We will see how much they grow.

Just a reminder it has to be a 2013 release set   There has been some great sets released last 2-3 years.  Too bad I don't have a list of sets released this year so far.  But yeah, the exclusive Crawler has made it mark already.  5yrs from now I wonder how many will still be in MINT unopened boxes...1,000?   

 

Silly guess-estimate, I would predict 5,000 sets world wide have been opened and enjoyed already leaving about 15,000 sets unopened.  Maybe 10,000 opened by X-mas and dwindle down slowly afterwards as collectors hold etc.  Hope there's no re-release or anyting similar    

B-Wing baby 

 

 

That was a really good deal on May 4^th and May 5^th.

 

I see people, not necessarily here, complaining about the B-Wing only hitting $250 someday blah blah blah.  That's still over 100% ROI and nothing to sneeze at.

Chima's Lion Chi Temple.  In 5 years, who wouldn't want to adorn their mancaves with a cool lion shaped headquarters ?

I see people, not necessarily here, complaining about the B-Wing only hitting $250 someday blah blah blah.  That's still over 100% ROI and nothing to sneeze at.

 

 

To be honest... the only thing i care is how much set increases in value COMPARED to retail...

 

anything else tells me little... lucky discounts or US only discounts are 0 to me... only comparing to retail is what matters.

To be honest... the only thing i care is how much set increases in value COMPARED to retail...

 

anything else tells me little... lucky discounts or US only discounts are 0 to me... only comparing to retail is what matters.

 

Looking at it from an "across the board" standpoint I agree. I know we had a discussion similar to this before, but whether something is considered a "flop" is widely based upon value in comparison to retail price, at least that's the popular perception. But for those who got Atlantis sets for 80% off and then sold them at 30 or 40% below retail, they were able to profit from a "flop" investment.

looking at all the sets, i think for the set that has retired this year, in the long term, the TB - in the short term the 4X4

 

Looking at the past Taj Mahal, and the Eiffel Tower, the long term potential of these sets is much greater!

The best investment set is one people never think would be the best investment set...

The best investment set is one people never think would be the best investment set...

 

Too bad there's a buying limit of 2 per customer.

The best investment set is one people never think would be the best investment set...

So if I list all sets released in 2013 here then none of them will be the best investment set

The best investment set is one people never think would be the best investment set...

Yep, thinking outside the box (pardon the pun) is the recipe for success.  There are a few "Dark Horses" that I have my eye on and I'll jump in once they drop to what I'm prepared to pay.  What are they?  Well, that'd be telling, wouldn't it? ;-)  However, they don't contain Ewoks.

Too bad there's a buying limit of 2 per customer.

Even though it's not ethical and will get you shot, just get friends to order them for you!

The best investment set is one people never think would be the best investment set...

In that case, I'm buying a whole bunch of Downtown Bakeries!

Oh, and some Flatbed Trucks too.

The 4x4 is the investment set of the decade.  It's like handing someone money.  Now maybe long term it will be outperformed, it is one of the best investment sets ever.  Considering all you had to do was purchase 2 of them for $200 a piece, then go and sell it for 400+ 2 weeks later.  You could turn 2 41999's into 4 TB's if that floats your boat.

The 4x4 is the investment set of the decade.  It's like handing someone money.  Now maybe long term it will be outperformed, it is one of the best investment sets ever.  Considering all you had to do was purchase 2 of them for $200 a piece, then go and sell it for 400+ 2 weeks later.  You could turn 2 41999's into 4 TB's if that floats your boat.

 

Unfortunately, that isn't completely true because of all the damn fees. Sold one for $450 and gonna make about $175 on it.

 

But yes, selling now isn't bad assuming you immediately reinvest the money in something else that you think will do better.

The best investment set is one people never think would be the best investment set...

Good point. This could be one of the many reasons why PoP, Toy Story, Atlantis, and other "loser" themes are starting to gain momentum, as late as it may be.

 

OK guys, the CHIMA Speedorz are going to be worth $500 one day!

^nice DNIIM, $175 profit on 1-2week flip is hard to do on single set/transaction.   

 

What makes it great was this set wasn't even a location specific exclusive like being at a convention or grand opening or lucky draw...people just had to order online or go in person in time.  Hind sight is 20/20 right...this was one set to really start your investment portfolio rolling if you're new at this 'hobby'.  Being a small time investor and newbie this was my highest priced Lego set purchase so far ($249.99 CAN, plus local tax  = $282.48) and I could only afford 2 since I have other purchases planned for Sept and Oct      

 

I told another member I had cold feet the day before release since I could get a lot of clearance sets for $500...but I figured 20,000 world wide seems pretty exclusive and at worse if it doesn't take off I could keep one and return the 2'nd set.  Hate to miss out. 

I'd have to go with the 41999.  A lot of the results in 5 yrs will be based on how long the sets where at retail for.  A set released in 2013 and stays around for 3 years is no just going to only have 2 years to appreciate to meet that 5 yr measure point, but it will also have a high investor supply.

 

Maybe Orthanc, if it has a short run of a year or so.

 

Probably something random like a polybag will take it out.

 

OK guys, the CHIMA Speedorz are going to be worth $500 one day!

Oh, Comicblast! Now why did you have to go and tell everyone????

Unfortunately, that isn't completely true because of all the damn fees. Sold one for $450 and gonna make about $175 on it.

 

But yes, selling now isn't bad assuming you immediately reinvest the money in something else that you think will do better.

Indeed. That sucked selling mine and paying all the damn fees. I cleared about 130 on mine since I gave free ship. Let's go Macks.....please----time for a beta! I have a bunch of things I want to sell for less than bp retail to my friends here... to clear some space.

The one bad thing about 41999 - was there enough to make buzz among non hard-core Technic fans. I don't know how high it will get because of this. Was there enough for there to be a sustainable after market. I think it will continue and get a little higher, but can it become a $700-$800 set when most never even saw it in stores? Its tough to predict.

 

Most people may see the price tag and just decide to let it go. Plus we don't know how many were bought and are still being bought by investors. Because it was gone so fast, many people may just give up.

 

I think it is going to plateau, and then maybe in 3 or 4 years, assuming Technic keeps growing, it will go up more.

 

Honestly if it makes it to $600-$650 in the near future, I might take my $300+ in profit out and put it in another set.

 

On  the other hand, it would be about the safest investment out there since they aren't (we assume) making more.