I doubt it will go that low, but JL may stock dump and get rid off them at a knock down price. Asda did this with a fire engine set.

However, the eBay price is

John Lewis still have 820 of this set, I'd proceed with caution. They are selling at a rate of about 20 per month which means this set will be on their website for another 3 and a half years. I would wait to see what john lewis do, this set could get reduced to around 30 quid.

It's possible they will just keep this set available whilst there are other hobbit sets to sell. You wont get more than 60 quid for it for a while.

 

They have 820 at

They have 820 at

How do you get that JL info?

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They have 820 at

How do you get that JL info?

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Go on website, enter 999 in the amount box, a box in red appears saying "sorry we only have 820 of these in stock"

Oh, I like it, my first official 'trick of the trade'! Thanks

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Go on website, enter 999 in the amount box, a box in red appears saying "sorry we only have 820 of these in stock"

 

This works on Amazon too.  Not sure about any other sites.

So I took all of your advice and pulled the trigger on a HD set on EBay. It is open and used but seller claims it is 99.9% complete. From the pics it looked fine. I can handle picking up a few pieces online if need be.

It also came with Uruk-Hai army, Shelob set, all minifigs for those 3, plus all the minifigs (no set) from mines of moria.

I figure I might be able to sell the cave troll minifig and a few others and at least make back a little cash. Altogether, the lot was $152 plus $17 shipping.

Okay deal for my personal collection, you think?

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That sounds like a great deal to cherish for yourself!

Sorry, I was not clear. Before Christmas Asda dropped the price of the EOL Fire Engine from

Because so many people have Helms Deeps, Orc Forges, Weathertops, etc..... I'm only investing in the Tower of Orthanc and mine are al first edition with the poster. I actually returned the 10 Pirate Ships that I bought last week.

The more I read of these threads, the more I see how morally questionable lego investment is. I remember a few people on hukd being disappointed that they missed out on the Sea plane...now I know why.

Oh dear, we can't have that kind of comment here, next you'll be telling us how hard done by the little kiddie winks are because someone already got the free polybags from the paper by buying 50 papers and getting 50 lego toys, then perching up at some park bench, cutting out the vouchers and hopping on the train to the next town handing over the said 50 cut out vouchers and getting another 50 lego toys.

 

And at both stores, you tell the shop assistant "they miss counted" and they hand over a few more.

 

And them selling them to a German at a 600% mark up.

 

And then using that money to take a holiday sitting in the sun sipping beer.

 

P.S  I have fed an Asian family for the last 2 and a half years by selling lego.  I'm hoping my investing will get them out of the jungle into a house one day.

Finally saw some clearance deals at the first Kmart i have been inside this century.

Goblin Kings for and pirate ambush's for $60.  Picked up 3 of the PA's wasn't sure about the goblin kings - is 63ish an ok price point for goblin king? 

it's $99.99 in the U.S so $63 is a fair discount, the real issue is with this set is what will be like in the aftermarket.

Oh dear, we can't have that kind of comment here, next you'll be telling us how hard done by the little kiddie winks are because someone already got the free polybags from the paper by buying 50 papers and getting 50 lego toys, then perching up at some park bench, cutting out the vouchers and hopping on the train to the next town handing over the said 50 cut out vouchers and getting another 50 lego toys.

And at both stores, you tell the shop assistant "they miss counted" and they hand over a few more.

And them selling them to a German at a 600% mark up.

And then using that money to take a holiday sitting in the sun sipping beer.

P.S I have fed an Asian family for the last 2 and a half years by selling lego. I'm hoping my investing will get them out of the jungle into a house one day.

Sorry, what was I thinking. Moaning about investment on a board for investors! A "delete post" option would be good on this board...

What about 79014 Dol Guldur Battle. It has Azog, Necromancer and Radagast, all unique mini figs. Not to mention Gandalf and some more orcs. I bought one on discount on Amazon and I think it has potential. It was one of the coolest scenes in the movie and I think will be remembered fondly. Thoughts? Am I an idiot?

What about 79014 Dol Guldur Battle. It has Azog, Necromancer and Radagast, all unique mini figs. Not to mention Gandalf and some more orcs. I bought one on discount on Amazon and I think it has potential. It was one of the coolest scenes in the movie and I think will be remembered fondly. Thoughts? Am I an idiot?

I think you're right on in your analysis of the figs! As far as hobbit sets go, should be a decent one...only caveat is that I would only buy at 20+% off...

---Keep it secret. Keep it safe.---

This is heavy. Really deep stuff. I'm going to light a fragrance candle. Some conflicting incense. Go commando in my bath robes and meditate on this for a while.

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Because so many people have Helms Deeps, Orc Forges, Weathertops, etc..... I'm only investing in the Tower of Orthanc and mine are al first edition with the poster. I actually returned the 10 Pirate Ships that I bought last week.

 

Interesting strategy.  What makes you think most of those same people or even more (because Orthanc is a great set, clearly the best LotR/hobbit set of them all) won't have an Orthanc or 20 for investment by the time it goes EOL?

 

Is the 1st edition with the poster worth more now?  I have no idea, genuinely curious. 

What makes it a first edition? Is the upc different? Item number? As i recall nothing makes it different. The poster was included if you purchased early as a vip, which i did. The latter ones i ordered all look exactly the same. I know that 10179 actually came with a certificate which is very different than the poster.

Is the Orc Forge hype train still going? I haven't looked into those things in awhile.

Finally saw some clearance deals at the first Kmart i have been inside this century.

Goblin Kings for and pirate ambush's for $60.  Picked up 3 of the PA's wasn't sure about the goblin kings - is 63ish an ok price point for goblin king?

O.K which one? I've been sitting on a few Kmarts in our area waiting on 50% off. Still a good deal at 30%. Please you would be saving me a trip.

TRU has a sale this week. Barrel Escape is $25. My local store had at least 15 of them on the shelf. Limit 2 per customer, though.

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