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Predictions for the upcoming Lego Black Friday Event

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2 minutes ago, starwarsxpress said:

anyone predicting the Christmas carol set goes down to $20 on ebay for the quick flippers ?

maybe $40

6 hours ago, Bricks Eh said:

well, not the VW beetle... hahaha sold out again

That sucks.... 

45 minutes ago, starwarsxpress said:

anyone predicting the Christmas carol set goes down to $20 on ebay for the quick flippers ?

I think there are too many people in the game this year. 20 bucks sounds about right. 

Just now, MotorCityMuscle said:

I think there are too many people in the game this year. 20 bucks sounds about right. 

Not gonna happen (but I would love to be wrong).

No money in selling something for $20 on ebay anymore. Fees and shipping will leave you with $3 if you're lucky. I could see some auctions going mid $30s if the market floods. A set this nice should be 40-50 out the gate. 

 

so that means they pulled the Beetle only to bring it back as a Black Friday deal with thousands in the warehouse

sounds about normal if that happens

3 minutes ago, starwarsxpress said:

so that means they pulled the Beetle only to bring it back as a Black Friday deal with thousands in the warehouse

sounds about normal if that happens

yes, but I assume we will not get dickens with it since it’s a sale item??

11 minutes ago, marcandre said:

No money in selling something for $20 on ebay anymore. Fees and shipping will leave you with $3 if you're lucky. I could see some auctions going mid $30s if the market floods. A set this nice should be 40-50 out the gate. 

 

think you win the best forecast of the day its down to one listing of 55 on eBay and the rest in 65 and it isn't even released yet.  that being said I could see it get down to a low of about $32 when it is at the most listings and then trend back to $40

 

2 minutes ago, Bricks Eh said:

yes, but I assume we will not get dickens with it since it’s a sale item??

I have no idea but they have not really enforced the house hold limit in the usa so I don't think they are going to force the dickens to not ship with sale items.  if they figure out the logic to not ship the dickens with sale items then they can figure out the logic of one per house hold and they haven't done either yet.  who knows they may force both but I think they force neither.  to your point on the beetle if it is a daily deal it won't be on a day we can get dickens is my guess but who knows.  I don't remember how daily deals and gwp overlapped last year.

side comment does anyone else feel like all of the new city ninjago and marvel sets that are announcing that are new are tiny compared to sets of the past ? 

26 minutes ago, KShine said:

Not gonna happen (but I would love to be wrong).

But only for a short amount of time, in which I would scoop as many up as possible, where they would promptly return to $50+.

2 minutes ago, sodoubleoggood said:

am i correct that as long as i add a keychain to an item on backorder, i should still receive the gwp?

Yes If you add something that ships right away. a few times have had them hold GWP for later shipment but don't count on it.

Edited by Belac

Part of me really wants to not give in tonight, not buy anything and save funds for Black Friday and bank they bring back the Dicken's promo....

But another part of me knows I'll read everyone's post about their purchases in 10 minutes and get antsy.

1 minute ago, Aup27 said:

Anyone else not getting GWP when over $150 with non-sale items?

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