Bottom line with this set. Above average investment. Are there possibly better choices right now? Maybe, but this is showing many signs of EOL. It has for months. No guarantees from me on this set though, just looking at the activity and reading the tea leaves.

I trust those are Black Tea leaves. They seem to be more accurate than green.

My cousin over in the UK showed me the fine art of tea leaf reading. Fascinating. Now to see what they say about the other top 5 sets on my list.

I trust those are Black Tea leaves. They seem to be more accurate than green.

My cousin over in the UK showed me the fine art of tea leaf reading. Fascinating. Now to see what they say about the other top 5 sets on my list.

Idk those are green above, seemed pretty "Dead 5" on

Y'all understand this one is still at LEGO Shop at Home, right?  Backordered, shipping in 30 days.

 

R2 was 'temporarily unavailable' for a long time and I honestly thought it would come back, even for a bit. Sadly never got a chance to add more.

 

With TLG's inability to keep up with demand of current products (Trouble with Tumbler, SW, Slave 1, DO and other new sets at times) something has to give. I wouldn't be surprised to see the backorder switch to sold out at some point.

 

Also, the horde had a lot of different targets prior to Christmas - now, not too many large sets even rumored to be close to retiring. With laser focus, ToO and Red-5 might not make it as long as TLG originally scheduled.

 

After ToO and Red-5, what realistically would be next? Ed indicated that this period of time would see an unusual amount of retirements and then perhaps a long period with little EOL activity on large sets. Seems more likely everyday.

Dead 5 is unavoidably a universal EOL-related label for years to come if this set really is on its way out right now. (typo or not, as has been said)

 

but...

 

Is that really the case?

 

The horde has learned quickly in the months since TH poofed, and acts earlier and more fiercely than ever before. It is going to be easy at some point (maybe now?) to misjudge the signs and create the self-fulfilling "false" shortages we have been discussing in various threads lately.

 

Personally, I have to limit spending for a while, and am not greatly sold on this set beyond owning one for myself, so I'm happy to kick back and watch the chaos.

 

But I would be wary, too, if going in with limited capital... because if you think about the timing (normal holiday shortages, lack of imminent EOL exclusives available since AA blipped out, need for TLG production to catch up in general, Episode VII hype building, UCS TIE coming soon, 9493 no longer available, etc.) there are a LOT of reasons for people with money burning holes in pockets or otherwise to focus on this set when normally (past 2 years) they would ignore it.

 

If I were Lego, I would be watching this phenomenon, rubbing my chin, and holding weekly meetings to discuss the pros and cons of letting exclusives go in and out of stock more often - especially late in their planned life cycle.

 

More Chaos, More Profit...

R2 was 'temporarily unavailable' for a long time and I honestly thought it would come back, even for a bit. Sadly never got a chance to add more.

 

With TLG's inability to keep up with demand of current products (Trouble with Tumbler, SW, Slave 1, DO and other new sets at times) something has to give. I wouldn't be surprised to see the backorder switch to sold out at some point.

 

Also, the horde had a lot of different targets prior to Christmas - now, not too many large sets even rumored to be close to retiring. With laser focus, ToO and Red-5 might not make it as long as TLG originally scheduled.

 

After ToO and Red-5, what realistically would be next? Ed indicated that this period of time would see an unusual amount of retirements and then perhaps a long period with little EOL activity on large sets. Seems more likely everyday.

 

Epic Dragon Battle, please be Epic Dragon Battle.

Would love to see the Dolphin Cruiser sink. Maybe in the fall. 

First red 5 then TOO then.SOH then EEE

All by August

That is my guess

First red 5 then TOO then.SOH then EEE

All by August

That is my guess

I don't have enough tea for all that!

First red 5 then TOO then.SOH then EEE

All by August

That is my guess

 

Oooh I forgot about EEE. A real wildcard as it is impossible to use retailer stocks as a warning sign - imagine the panic when this moves to backorder/sold out.

 

Also, why no EDB on that list!?

First red 5 then TOO then.SOH then EEE

All by August

That is my guess

 

This one is becoming dangerous. Keep a close eye on him...

What do you think of my call raven?

I don't have enough cash for all that

Lol

This one is becoming dangerous. Keep a close eye on him...

Word. Like a fox!

Y'all understand this one is still at LEGO Shop at Home, right?  Backordered, shipping in 30 days.

 

Yes, and since I ordered one in late December, I've received two "sorry, but this will take a little longer" messages. The last time that happened, LEGO Shop at Home cancelled my HH order.

Anecdotal? Yes. But the best predictor of the future is the past. That's why I grabbed a couple from Target instead of waiting for TLG.

Oooh I forgot about EEE. A real wildcard as it is impossible to use retailer stocks as a warning sign - imagine the panic when this moves to backorder/sold out.

 

Also, why no EDB on that list!?

 

Alas I came to late to the Lego game to be invested into EDB so I do not follow it.  Unfortunately or fortunately I have 0.

Alas I came to late to the Lego game to be invested into EDB so I do not follow it.  Unfortunately or fortunately I have 0.

Watch your PMs as many of us would be happy to fix your EDB predicament at cost :D  

What do you think of my call raven?

I don't have enough cash for all that

Lol

lol, yeah especially when SOH requires $$$ for 2 sets on its own.  I like the order though, now we'll see how it plays out.  I'm marking it down lol

Edb?

Edb?

 

Epic Dragon Battle, or possibly- 

• Ethylene dibromide, a chemical substance also known as 1,2-Dibromoethane.
• Extensor digitorum brevis, a muscle in the foot.
• Estimated date of birth
• Eastern Diamondback rattlesnake

Epic dragon battle

 

Epic Dragon Battle, or possibly- 

• Ethylene dibromide, a chemical substance also known as 1,2-Dibromoethane.
• Extensor digitorum brevis, a muscle in the foot.
• Estimated date of birth
• Eastern Diamondback rattlesnake

 

 

It's Date of Birth. I have too many.

It's Date of Birth. I have too many.

 

Don't worry, EOL is sooner than you think...

EV should be in that list too. I am out for  SOH as at 320 euros here it is a complete rip off.

I feel like the strongest indicator that this is retiring is that everyone seems to be seeing xxR3 codes from online retailers and in lego stores recently. Has anyone spotted a xxR4 code on this one?

Help a newbie...EEE??  =)

Help a newbie...EEE??  =)

 

10241 - Maersk Line Triple-E