5 hours ago, ravenb99 said:

Trek never jokes... he is totally serious about star wars

(Airplane meme placeholder)

5 hours ago, zak001 said:

Not having zero = allowing you to estimate the mean holdings of sellers who've bought in only

Having zero = allowing you to estimate the mean holdings across all sellers

The zero option provides a great deal of useful context for the other data.

Exactly but the poll has overlaps - if you have 5, 10 etc there are 2 options you could click. 0, 1-5, 6-10, 11-20 etc would have been better and there is a gap between 20 and 30 with no option,  but no big deal, people will be too drunk to answer coherently anyway.

Edited January 1, 20169 yr by valenciaeric

Looking at some stats for completed new sold BIN and AUCTION listings on Ebay EU VS actual listings available.

10188: 85 sales since sold out 4th Dec. Avg 4 per day. Currently 33 BIN listings above RRP

10240: 40 or so sales since sold out on 26th Dec. Avg 6 per day. Currently 24 BIN listings above RRP

70810: 8 since 22nd Nov, half in the first week after retirement. Avg 1 per week. Currently 12 BIN listings above RRP

76023: 7 since 28th Dec. Avg 2 per day. Currently 38 BIN listings above RRP

Compare with:

10224: 21 sold since 1st Dec. Avg less than 1 per day. Currently 29 BIN listings above RRP

Please note that listings may include multiple units of items so real sales will be higher, particularly for the star wars ones.

It is interesting to see that DS sales have remained consistent even though the price has moved up a lot. Average daily sales for Red 5 are higher, however we are still only a week after sold out status and that the market has not been flooded -yet.

Sea Cow almost seems in a different league altogether and the number of Tumblers available is worrying.

Comments?

 

Edited January 1, 20169 yr by valenciaeric

i havent gone into the sales numbers but judging by the price: (all ebay germany)

tumbler made a quick jump too 300€

DS went from 430€ at the beginning of december to 490€ in mid december. Few days before christmas it climed to almost 600 and remains there till now.

red5 quickly sold at 220€+ and reached 300€ by now. still rising quickly imo.

Edited January 1, 20169 yr by Hogi
typo

Yup. But red 5 was sellling above rrp for a time before retirement as it was backordered. That´s when most shops ran out of stock and why there is panic now.

Also, it´s good to focus on units sold and available now rather than the price because that gives an idea of real demand and how price will evolve.

Bricklink data shows similar patterns of units but, bizarrely, Red 5 sold the same quantity as DS and Tumbler in December (44). However, there are double the units listed of DS to red 5, with tumbler in between. SC sold only 14 and has the same number available as red 5  (60 ish). TH sold only 3 and has the same number listed as DS (120)

All this suggests Tumbler is more hoarded than some would like and that red 5 is looking very good.

Edited January 1, 20169 yr by valenciaeric

I have exactly 2, so then, do I answer 1-2, or 2-5 ?  

18 minutes ago, Haay said:

I have exactly 2, so then, do I answer 1-2, or 2-5 ?  

worst poll ever.

I have exactly 2, so then, do I answer 1-2, or 2-5 ? [emoji14] 

Both...

Poll will be revised in 5 mins.

Jais the poll will not let me vote not sure if still being edited ?

1 hour ago, jaisonline said:

Poll will be revised in 5 mins.

Nice effort but there is no 0 or Trekgate/Emazers quantity to choose.....

Can you add an option of "Zero" as opposed to the 0?  No idea how these polls technically work but wondering if that hack might do something?

It´s these Americans who are only used to politicalopinion polls with 2 options

13 minutes ago, valenciaeric said:

Nice effort but there is no 0 or Trekgate/Emazers quantity to choose.....

 

done

9 minutes ago, valenciaeric said:

It´s these Americans who are only used to politicalopinion polls with 2 options

nah, don't think so.

Good to see min price on all EU Amazons is now above 300 euros. Give it a couple of days and even the QFLL´s at bricklink will be out of stock - one sold for 250 euros in a heartbeat today.

Edited January 1, 20169 yr by valenciaeric

12 minutes ago, jaisonline said:

 

done

nah, don't think so.

Is it possible to reset the poll to allow people to vote again?

Edited January 1, 20169 yr by valenciaeric

Went back to the Lego store here, and picked up another one. 4 left on the shelves.

I'm not sure how high of a demand these are in the US. Figured they'd all be gone by now...

Went back to the Lego store here, and picked up another one. 4 left on the shelves.

I'm not sure how high of a demand these are in the US. Figured they'd all be gone by now...

Folks love to hate a set until it's gone forever. That being said, I do think this one is well hoarded in the US. I'm anxious to see how it performs next year with the new x-wing for Rogue One rumored to be released.

43 minutes ago, valenciaeric said:

Is it possible to reset the poll to allow people to vote again?

our votes will remain unknown lol

23 minutes ago, trekgate502 said:

our votes will remain unknown lol

 

1 hour ago, valenciaeric said:

Is it possible to reset the poll to allow people to vote again?

 

i reset the poll.  people need to vote again.  only side-effect is that folks who voted before will have their names still shown even though they can vote again and even for a diff answer.

 I can´t see the option to vote again or the names of those that voted. Tried logging off and on but nada.

I think we need a poll to decide what parameters the main poll should incorporate.

All the R5's (>10) on the shelves of my local Lego store have been gone. Now I feel the end of this thing.

I wish I had bought more

Another great day for EU sales - 3 so far and 2 more auctions close to ending. 360 euros and above will be the closing prices.