Leaderboard

Here is the list of current and upcoming polybags in the LEGO world. If you've found a polybag that's not on this list, or have any update to give us, please note it in the comments below. This information is put together from a number of different sources on the Internet, including real world reports. Availability in your area may vary. This information is US-based. These are from within the last 12 months. Polybags Currently Available Set # Theme Set Name Locations 30347 City Fire Car TRU 30349 City Sports Car Legoland, Target 30311 City Swamp Police Helicopter TRU 30471 Creator Helicopter Legoland 30285 Creator Tiger TRU 30397 Disney Princess Olaf's Summertime Fun Legoland, Target 30259 Elves Azari's Magic Fire Legoland, TRU 30375 Elves Sira's Adventurous Airglider Lego.com 30396 Friends Cupcake Stall Legoland 30204 Friends Wish Fountain TRU 30320 Jurassic World Gallimimus Trap Gamestop 30371 Nexo Knights Knight's Cycle Legoland, TRU 30373 Nexo Knights Knighton Hyper Cannon Legoland 30374 Nexo Knights Lava Slinger Legoland 30291 Ninjago Anacondrai Battle Mech Legoland, TRU 5002144 Ninjago Dareth vs. Nindroid TRU 30421 Ninjago Skybound Plane Legoland 30277 Star Wars First Order Star Destroyer Legoland 30602 Star Wars First Order Stormtrooper Lego.com 30279 Star Wars Kylo Ren's Command Shuttle Legoland 5002122 Star Wars TC-4 Legoland 30603 Super-Heroes Batman Classic TV Series - Mr. Freeze Lego.com 30447 Super-Heroes Captain America's Motorcycle TRU 30604 Super-Heroes Cosmic Boy DVD/Blu Ray 30168 Super-Heroes Gun mounting system (Iron Patriot) Gamestop 5002946 Super-Heroes Silver Centurion Gamestop 30448 Super-Heroes Spider-Man vs The Venom Symbiote Legoland 30446 Super-Heroes The Batmobile TRU 30601 Scooby Doo Scooby-Doo DVD/Blu Ray (Preorder May 2016) 30605 Star Wars Finn (FN-2187) Gamestop (Preorder June 2016) 30606 Super-Heroes Nightwing DVD/Blu Ray (Preorder June 2016) Polybags Coming Soon Set # Theme Set Name Locations Status Date 5004409 Bionicle Accessory pack Unknown 2016 5002942 Bionicle Bionicle Villain Pack Non-US release only? Unknown Dec 2015 30350 City Drilling Machine Unknown 2016 30348 City Mini Dumper EU release No Recent Sightings Feb 2016 5004404 City Police Chase Non-US release only? Unknown Jan 2016 30346 City Prison Island Helicopter TRU Unknown 2016 30474 Creator Reindeer Unknown 2016 30217 Duplo Duplo Forest Random Bag Non-US release only? Unknown Dec 2015 40167 Duplo Promotional polybag Unknown 2016 30322 Duplo Wildlife Unknown 2016 5004401 Duplo Wildlife Puzzle Unknown 2016 30399 Friends Bowling Alley Unknown 2016 5002931 Friends Disco Dance Floor Non-US release only? Unknown Oct 2015 5004395 Friends Jewellery and Sticker Pack Unknown 2016 30473 Juniors Racer Unknown 2016 5004390 Nexo Knights (Exclusive Minifigure) Lego Store Unknown Jul 2016 30292 Ninjago Jay Nano Mech Aus/NZ release No Recent Sightings Oct 2015 5002920 Ninjago Ninjago Accessory Pack Non-US release only? Unknown Nov 2015 5002922 Ninjago Ninjago Role Play Non-US release only? Unknown Oct 2015 5002919 Ninjago Scenery and Dagger Trap Non-US release only? Unknown Nov 2015 30423 Ninjago Sky Pirate Unknown 2016 5004391 Ninjago Sky Pirates Battle Non-US release only? Unknown 2016 30424 Ninjago Wu Cru Training Unknown 2016 5004406 Star Wars First Order General Unknown 2016 Polybags That Appear to be Unavailable Set # Theme Set Name Locations Status Date 30256 Chima Ice Bear Mech Target No Recent Sightings Jan 2016 30312 City Demolition Driller TRU No Recent Sightings Dec 2015 30314 City Go-Kart Racer Target No Recent Sightings Jan 2016 30315 City Space Utility Vehicle Legoland, Target No Recent Sightings Jan 2016 30228 City Police ATV Kmart No Recent Sightings Oct 2015 30188 Creator Cute Kitten TRU No Recent Sightings Oct 2015 40146 Creator Lufthansa Plane Lufthansa No Recent Sightings Oct 2015 30472 Creator Parrot Lego Store No Recent Sightings Mar 2016 30284 Creator Tractor Lego.com No Recent Sightings Oct 2015 30321 Duplo Duck Lego.com No Recent Sightings 3/1/2016 2000447 Education Mini Milo CES 2016 Giveaway No Recent Sightings Feb 2016 30398 Friends Adventure Camp Bridge Lego.com No Recent Sightings Jan 2016 30112 Friends Emma's Flower Stand TRU No Recent Sightings Jan 2016 30203 Friends Mini Golf TRU No Recent Sightings Dec 2015 30205 Friends Pop Star Legoland No Recent Sightings Dec 2015 30202 Friends Smoothie Stand TRU No Recent Sightings Dec 2015 5004388 Nexo Knights Nexo Knights Intro Pack Lego.com No Recent Sightings Jan 2016 30372 Nexo Knights Robin's Mini Fortrex Lego.com No Recent Sightings Jan 2016 30422 Ninjago Kai's Mini Dragon Lego.com, Target No Recent Sightings Mar 2016 30294 Ninjago The Cowler Dragon Target No Recent Sightings Jan 2016 30286 Seasonal Christmas Tree Target, TRU No Recent Sightings Jan 2016 40055 Seasonal Halloween Pumpkin TRU No Recent Sightings Oct 2015 5002947 Star Wars Admiral Yularen Legoland No Recent Sightings Nov 2015 30272 Star Wars A-Wing Starfighter Legoland No Recent Sightings Mar 2016 30274 Star Wars AT-DP Legoland No Recent Sightings Mar 2016 5002948 Star Wars C-3P0 TRU No Recent Sightings Jan 2016 30276 Star Wars First Order Special Forces TIE Fighter Target No Recent Sightings Mar 2016 30246 Star Wars Imperial Shuttle Target No Recent Sightings Jan 2016 30278 Star Wars Poe's X-Wing Fighter Target No Recent Sightings Mar 2016 5002938 Star Wars Stormtrooper Sergeant TRU No Recent Sightings Jan 2016 30275 Star Wars TIE Advanced Prototype Target, TRU No Recent Sightings Jan 2016 30304 Super-Heroes Avengers Quinjet TRU No Recent Sightings Jan 2016 5002125 Super-Heroes Electro TRU No Recent Sightings Feb 2016 5003084 Super-Heroes Hulk TRU No Recent Sightings Feb 2016 30303 Super-Heroes Joker Bumper Car Legoland, Target, Walmart No Recent Sightings Jan 2016 30305 Super-Heroes Spider-Man Super Jumper Walmart No Recent Sightings Dec 2015 5002943 Super-Heroes Winter Soldier Lego.com No Recent Sightings Oct 2015

One of the most exciting times for a LEGO investor results from visiting LEGO S@H (LEGO's online storefront), looking for a particular set and suddenly realize there is a tag with the following message: "Retired Product"; Expectation and hope suddenly becomes joy. If you are reading this article, odds are you are already familiar with the concept of EOL (End Of Line), but just in case I think it would be appropriate to summarize what it means. LEGO produces different sets along the year, and each design has a planned life cycle that only the company Execs. are aware of. Once this cycle is completed, the set goes out of production to make room for a new design, usually meaning that to acquire the already retired set a prospective buyer will need to go to the secondary market (Us!). As with anything, this decrease in supply will, hopefully, translate into an increase in set value and help the investor get a decent return of his/her investment. What is the problem, then? If we know that sets retire after a couple years of being in production why do we even worry about exactly when this will happen?; Well, that's the million dollar question, LEGO is now known for being very secretive AND not really consistent when it comes time to retire a particular set. This means that while an specific modular might retire 2 years after introduced, the next may last 3 or 4 years before it is pulled out of the shelves. Having no concrete knowledge of when a set is retiring transforms into a dilemma for almost every single investor. With limited funds and an objective of maximizing profits and turnover, purchasing sets that are as close to retirement as possible becomes the most efficient way to be successful. Of course, this means that, occasionally , some investors will completely miss out on a popular set that retired before they expected OR will be left holding onto sets that will not retire for 2 or 3 more years! Tying their money, and space, for such a long period of time is definitely not the best way to make their business as efficient as possible. But, how can we as investors have any clue about when a particular set is to be retired? Well, there is really no clear cut answer. Even though there are some clues and events that may indicate a set is nearing retirement, there is usually an understandable controversy surrounding every single one of the "leading indicators". My point is that, while I tried to collect and summarize some of the possible signs suggesting retirement, none of these should really be taking as the one and only guide when developing an investing strategy. My objective is only to list them and give mostly new investors an idea of some of the things we talk about more deeply in the forums. LEADING INDICATORS: 1- Retiring Soon Tag Clearly, one of the most telling events in a set's life is when LEGO S@H assigns the tag "Retiring Soon". Even though it may seem that this event pretty much guarantees a sooner than later retirement, the process is definitely not as straightforward. One of the things that may happen is a set with the tag lingering on the shelves and online storefront for months after the tag has been assigned. This could be a way for LEGO to "Clearance" a set without actually lowering the price, basically pushing potential buyers to make a purchase before the set goes away forever. Another thing to consider is that most of the products that retire never even get the tag assigned to them at all. Think of the Haunted House model that according to the majority of the investors is as close to official retirement as it is going to get. The set never had the Retiring Soon tag, it basically went from being In Stock, to Backorder and finally to Sold Out. This is a more common transition, especially with the larger exclusives. 2- Sudden, and deep, discount in official LEGO outlets As above, this is another sign that most of the sets do not ever show. However, opposite to the Retiring Soon tag, once a set experiences a deep discount from LEGO stores and S@H (think 30% or more), it is almost a certainty that it will be retired within the next couple of weeks. As you can imagine, once a set is discounted in this manner it goes to Sold Out status in a matter of days if not hours. [img url="http://community.brickpicker.com/uploads/2014/10/Untitled1.png" cks="responsive"] The image above shows sets with both the Retiring Soon tag and the "Sale Price" discount. 3- LEGO Limits This is one of the most controversial items on the list, and for good reason. As most of the members in the forums know, LEGO is known by limiting the amount of a same set you can purchase, especially the hard to find exclusives. Most of the time, the limits start at 5 per household and seem to be lowered as a set is nearing retirement, usually to 2 or 1. Having said that, there really is no clear evidence indicating that this pattern actually correlates to going EOL, and several sets a year completely deviate from this perceived pattern. 4- Time on the Shelves Again, a very difficult sign to interpret. It seems that in years past LEGO was a little more predictable when it came to figuring out how long a particular set would be available for. Estimates and comments seem to place the average availability of a set at around 2 years, but as most of you know LEGO seems to have been extending the life of popular sets for 4 or more years!. However, with some exceptions *cough, DS*, once a set has been available for 3 or more years and is sharing shelf space with newer and similar models (think Modulars), it is pretty safe to assume that retirement will come sooner rather than later, making it OK to start stocking up. 5- Production Run Codes For an introduction to Production codes, please go HERE This somewhat recent discovery can also be considered helpful to help determine potential EOL. If we as investors see a set available in 2015 that has been showing some of the other signs of retirement, and discover that the production codes indicate current inventory came from several months ago, it could lead us to believe that LEGO has stopped production of the set and is simply waiting for the last batch to be completely sold out. As with any of the other indicators, tread carefully when using production codes. 6- Retired Product Tag Finally, the Holy Grail of LEGO investing. Once a set is assigned this tag on LEGO S@H, its death is official. This is the tag that generates more joy and excitement among the community members and, other than being able to find the set at other retailers (notably TRU & B&N), it means that any opportunity to acquire this set is pretty much gone. Finally! In the end, the point is that there is no sure way to determine if a set is nearing its retirement. The best we can all do is take a look at all of these signs in aggregate and share our opinions in the forums hoping for that beautiful day when the Retired Product tag shows up in LEGO S@H. Thanks for reading.