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Lets elaborate on that "sell it now and buy another set who can do X2 in a year". Maybe if you had an insight into retiring sets or were just plain psychic I would say this is a perfect philosophy, however you're point is flawed. I am sitting on a huge stash of T1 Campervans that I was convinced were going last year or this. I have Tower Bridges, Ecto-1's, Pet Shops, Brick Bountys, all sets that I was convinced were retiring soon and look how that's turning out. Predicting retirements is difficult and selling a set that to just rinse and repeat is going to get your fingers burnt soon enough. Over the last two years I watched numerous sets that I've sold rise in value while the sets I replaced them with sit stagnant in my loft. One more thing. Very very few sets double in price after one year. Plus when you factor in tax, eBay fees, Paypal fees most good sets will only return 25-50% max after 12 months of retiring. For every 1 successful set its very easy to invest into 4 poor performers.

When your police force is on horseback, news travels slow.

The rumors are true. Picked up my first ever friends lego set at ross, dolphin cruiser for 44.99. I like this ship and i liked the price. It was also worth it just to see my son stare at me with a look of disbelief as i paid for it. He made a couple loud comments about not wanting a girls set in front of some women but then in the car away from any girls, he says "i think i want to build this ship, it looks pretty cool". Punk kids these days

Maybe now they plan to give a car away if you buy the Lego.

Supraboy has my vote

I just sold my used, built once, SSD for $800 +shipping. Not bad, since I got to build /display it and my buy in was $270 (from AWD).

Flippin' them like hotcakes, ironically in the TRU parking lot. Probably the one he stole them from.

What is this patience thing of which you speak?

Waiting is not fun so many will dump this set early and move on to PS, Red 5, ToO, DS etc. No risk of hundreds of offers for TH, while it is guaranteed for the 2015 sets. Changing market conditions and changing production policy has added a ton of value to the already retired sets. Once the number of offers dips below that critical point you are going to see $100 jumps quite quickly on this set IMO. I don;t believe we are too far from that tipping point and this time next year things will look alot more interesting.

Town Hall is not a set to dump for a quick bit of profit. The rarity of this set will ensure than in a few years time it's one of the major players.

This is a great article to read : http://community.brickpicker.com/blog/community-lego-blogs/the-lego-december-effect/ the blogs are full of gems , I would encourage members to read them when time permits.

Also, you have the ability to Ignore Users. Look under your forum settings area. If there are people you don't care to see their posts, that should help filter out that stuff you don't care to see.

Funny to read all the butthurt in the comment section. What's funny is I would bet nearly every Lego "collector" has sold something on ebay/CL/Amazon, what have you, and made money on it. Then talk out the other side of their mouth and claim resellers are the devil.

That probably will be one of the questions in the trivia.

Waiting on a $5 bricklink order (shipping included) to sell a $225+ set.

I have also got the email, without details. Such events used to start after midnight... but, when I checked New Zealand page after their midnight, there was no activity. Only now there is something new - gingerbread bonus set annonce and notice about these sets: *Hurry! Limited availability of the following sets at the discounted price: The Brick Bounty (70413) MINI Cooper (10242) Sydney Opera House™ (10234) Ewok™ Village (10236) LEGO® MINDSTORMS® EV3 (31313) But no discounts when I go to web sites of each set.

No tax, no shipping. Very simple and painless with Paypal, $13.50 later I am officially not a slacker with regard to this any longer. Oh and this too...

These went quick in-store as well... I pass 4 walmarts on the way home from the office, the first 3 stops had none whatsoever (& these were the usually less trafficked ones) in the 3rd I happened upon the stock clerk in the toy section restocking the endcap with the Duplo boxes & she said they sold 60 boxes of the classic in the first couple hours the store opened, there was a line up at the door before they opened! (they're already on local kijiji at $65) the last store on the way was the fancy new superstore which is always the busy one, so I wasn't even gonna bother but in the excitement of the quest I forgot to get cat food so stopped by anyway - they had just rolled out a fresh new pallet full - in the food section! as there wasn't any more room next to the toys. (I bought the kitties the slightly higher end tins this week :-) btw - a little bird told me there are 2 pallets to each store per Wednesday truck, 2 trucks during the pre-black Friday sale - so the next restock will be next Wednesday over-night... just say'n

Great article. Please take 2 minutes and read it. But if you're lazy, it basically suggests that many investors expect prices to peak in December, when in fact they often decline. It is theorized that too many sellers, hoping for December gains, put their product out there, and increased supply leads to lower prices. I actually saw this play out last month for the 10228 Haunted House. I thought October would be the perfect time to take some profit on one of mine. Ebay prices in September were around $445. So I put mine up for sale in the beginning of October, and what-do-you-know... a lot of folks had the same idea, and prices dropped almost 10%.

Any news guys? On SaH Germany: 10234 Sidney Opera House from 279,99 euro for 265,99 euro. Wow! That persuades me to buy ten!

I don't find price appreciation boring in the slightest! Stagnation, perhaps...

Some do, some don´t.

Ugh.

I think that price is only pulling up three bulk listings on eBay which is skewing the result/value. There are currently 100 listings on eBay. via brick fan: Update: I’ve been told the street date for the LEGO Marvel Super Heroes Hulk (5003048) is December 6, 2015.

10211 grand Emporium.............$200 sealed.........=)

Thousand piece AT-AT set releases are on a fairly consistent 3-4 year cycle. 2003-2007-2010-2014. http://www.brickpicker.com/bpms/search.cfm?searchterm=AT-AT 2017 would be the earliest we "should" see another release and with the new movies coming out maybe they give the old sets a little longer time out to pasture. This set is second largest AT-AT and only 1 piece smaller than the motorized AT-AT by piece count. Given the upcoming movie release schedule, if we get lucky with no new AT-AT until 2018, 75054 should do pretty well. Wild card is if we get a UCS AT-AT which i kind of am hoping for. I have 10 to sell before xmas 2017. I wish i had 5 more but i'm saving up for black friday brick towers.

AA, EEE, R5, SOH, HE were on it.

There are ups and downs in any marketplace. In the LEGO secondary market, prices on the whole, usually rise in the Fall and early Winter and drop after the New Year. My theory on why some large and expensive exclusives drop when they should be rising is based on the new wave of resellers. This is a newer phenomena. Year ago, almost all LEGO sets would rise though the Holiday season, but I believe now the current makeup of resellers is to flip for quick profits, instead of holding for long term gain. Many new resellers get anxious holding a set past a year, so they sell these big sets that they made some quick money on to lock up profits. Over time, after more exclusives are resold, the prices continue to increase at a solid pace. If people would just look at the history of some of the current $1000 sets out there, you would see it was a slow climb for the most part, over yearS, not months. People selling their Town Halls right now is understandable, but my sets increase in value long term with each early sale so I really won't complain.

Retired modulars are for adult collectors. They shouldn't be so season sensitive unless it's a surprise Christmas gift. If I want a retired item, I buy it, no matter what date of the year; The reason for more listings could be finance: investors locking in profits (smaller than should be) to reinvest in 'better' sets. Or just cash- constrained investors looking for some breathing space. Selling TH (or HH, FB etc) is exactly what you shouldn't do, unless you're afraid of remakes. The larger the lego community, the better the retired classics will do. Last thing on my mind, is to sell my best sets to reinvest in popular (maybe never retiring) current items... FBarcelona has written excellent articles on the timing to resell top sets. I suggest everybody to look them up. Take care

Bought another one of the Vader/Luke Buildable Figure Combo Packs today at TRU and got the two free polys (C3PO and Space Vehicle). Trying to spend the minimum to get the free polys---time will tell if the Vader/Luke is a good choice. I'm not sold one way or the other. Oh, and found a Gallimimus poly buried in the Space Vehicle bin....$3.05 after discounts.

Here you go: http://community.brickpicker.com/blog/community-lego-blogs/the-lego-december-effect/ Might revisit this next year once the data comes in.

Harrison Ford actually shows emotion while talking! Must watch TV folks!

Found four of these for $12.56 each today on clearance...I don't care whether it appreciates or not...I've already made money :)

Just give him a neck brace instead...

http://shop.lego.com/en-DE/Just-for-LEGO-VIPs No mention of 2xvip in the promo so I guess it won´t happen. Bedtime, happy shopping.

This set was a moderate success for me. My buy in was $30 and I sold them off for an average of $68.00 shipped. The $21 profit per unit after costs is not bad for a 30 day hold. If you're nimble and have the time and energy to watch the market and buy smart, you can still come out ahead. Hopefully, this will scare off some of the lughead resellers that bought at RRP and set their $75 price on Amazon and hit the snooze button. How many returns are we going to see at TRU when late December rolls around? I'm in again if they have to blow these out for $20.

And that is what will bring in strict purchase limits.

"The Brick Throne" more uncomfortable than sitting on the Iron Throne... Saw some in store finally, skid was basically empty. Left em there as my 2 will be more than enough for whatever i decide to do with them. Comments like these make me realize how small-time i really am in comparison to others!

... insert Midas' Canadian Car Chase commercial here... https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0id9fUYb95A

Well, it's in your name after all :)

Thanks for reposting the article. So it more or less confirms what I was noticing. More listings means the average selling price will drop. But on the other hand this will most probably mean more sales so after the holiday period there will be fewer left. So the price can rise again.

Popped into Myer to see what they had. No large exclusives at all. Found a random Cargo Terminal though.

My review is up :)

The notification bell has popped back up in the bottom right corner. With Christmas soon around the bend, it kind of fits. Now if the beep sounded 'Christmassy'. Haha.

So you´re saying a Scotsman wears Lego under his kilt? That has clarified so many things for me now.

Sorry, there is not enough space

No like XBox 360? I can't imagine playing on any other system. I have a Wii and had a PS3 and rarely played those. The XBox controller totally spoils you.

Huw over at Brickset just posted a great review of the book. http://brickset.com/article/17591/The-Ultimate-Guide-to-Collectable-LEGO-sets We shipped him out a review copy and I know I am very happy that he liked the book. Huw knows his LEGO and I have met him on a few occasions. He loves LEGO and is very serious about it and his site which is why it is the most popular LEGO site out there. Getting a nod of approval from him means a lot to me.

Here's the updated polybag schedule. If you have any updates, post them up, and I will update the spreadsheet: Last Updated Set # Theme Set Name Locations Status Updated By Nov 2015 30312 City Demolition Driller TRU Available 11/29 micbelt Nov 2015 30291 Ninjago Anacondrai Battle Mech TRU Available 11/8 micbelt Nov 2015 5002938 Star Wars Stormtrooper Sergeant TRU Available 12/13 micbelt Nov 2015 30286 Seasonal Christmas Tree TRU Available 12/20 micbelt Nov 2015 5003084 Super-Heroes Hulk TRU Available 12/6 micbelt Nov 2015 30274 Star Wars AT-DP TRU Current micbelt Nov 2015 30259 Elves Azari's Magic Fire TRU Current micbelt Nov 2015 30112 Friends Emma's Flower Stand TRU Current Alpinemaps Nov 2015 30294 Ninjago The Cowler Dragon Target Current Alpinemaps Nov 2015 5002948 Star Wars Episode 7 C3P0 TRU Current micbelt Nov 2015 30188 Creator Cute Kitten TRU Gone (Oct 2015) Elkkthunder Nov 2015 30202 Friends Smoothie Stand Target Gone (Jan 2015) Alpinemaps Nov 2015 30203 Friends Mini Golf Lego.com Gone (Jan 2015) Alpinemaps Nov 2015 30204 Friends Wish Fountain Legoland Gone (Jan 2015) Alpinemaps Nov 2015 30205 Friends Pop Star Lego.com Gone (Oct 2015) Alpinemaps Nov 2015 30228 City Police ATV Kmart Gone (Oct 2015) jay4e Nov 2015 30246 Star Wars Imperial Shuttle Target Gone (Aug 2015) BrickChick Nov 2015 30256 Chima Ice Bear Mech TRU Gone (Aug 2015) Elkkthunder Nov 2015 30272 Star Wars A-Wing Starfighter Legoland DC Gone (Oct 2015) exciter1 Nov 2015 30275 Star Wars TIE Advanced Prototype TRU Gone (Aug 2015) Elkkthunder Nov 2015 30283 Creator Off-Road Legoland Gone (Mar 2015) Alpinemaps Nov 2015 30284 Creator Tractor Lego.com Gone (Oct 2015) Alpinemaps Nov 2015 30293 Ninjago Kai Drifter Lego.com Gone (Apr 2015) Darth_Raichu Nov 2015 30303 Super-Heroes Joker Bumper Car TRU Gone (Oct 2015) micbelt Nov 2015 30305 Super-Heroes Spider-Man Super Jumper Lego.com Gone (Aug 2015) Alpinemaps Nov 2015 30311 City Swamp Police Helicopter Target Gone (Jan 2015) Alpinemaps Nov 2015 30313 City Garbage Truck Target Gone (Apr 2015) Alpinemaps Nov 2015 30314 City Go-Kart Racer Target Gone (Oct 2015) pstebbing Nov 2015 30315 City Space Utility Vehicle Target Gone (Oct 2015) Alpinemaps Nov 2015 30320 Jurassic World Gallimimus Trap GameStop / TRU Gone (Aug 2015) micbelt Nov 2015 40055 Seasonal Halloween Pumpkin TRU Gone (Oct 2015) thoroakenfelder Nov 2015 40140 Creator Flower Cart Lego.com Gone (Jan 2015) Alpinemaps Nov 2015 40146 Creator Lufthansa Plane Lufthansa Gone (Oct 2015) Alpinemaps Nov 2015 5002125 Super-Heroes Electro TRU Gone (Oct 2015) jay4e Nov 2015 5002144 Ninjago Dareth vs. Nindroid TRU Gone (Oct 2015) jay4e Nov 2015 5002941 Bionicle Hero Pack Lego.com Gone (Mar 2015) Darth_Raichu Nov 2015 5002943 Super-Heroes Winter Soldier Lego.com Gone (Oct 2015) Alpinemaps Nov 2015 5002947 Star Wars Admiral Yularen Lego.com Gone (Oct 2015) Alpinemaps Nov 2015 30217 Duplo Duplo Forest Random Bag Unknown Alpinemaps Nov 2015 30218 Duplo Duplo Snail Unknown Alpinemaps Nov 2015 30278 Star Wars Poe's X-Wing Fighter Unknown Alpinemaps Nov 2015 30285 Creator Tiger Unknown Alpinemaps Nov 2015 30292 Ninjago Jay Nano Mech Unknown Alpinemaps Nov 2015 30304 Super-Heroes Avengers Quinjet Unknown Alpinemaps Nov 2015 30605 Star Wars Finn (FN-2187) Unknown Alpinemaps Nov 2015 5002919 Ninjago Scenery and Dagger Trap Unknown Alpinemaps Nov 2015 5002928 Friends Party Polybag Unknown Alpinemaps Nov 2015 5002939 Star Wars Phantom Unknown Alpinemaps