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Showing content with the highest reputation on 11/16/2015 in Posts

  1. I thought it would be a great idea to check in on some sets that don't get a lot of press around here to see exactly how they are doing now. I love 'where are they now' editions of TV shows so if nothing else posting this will please me, and perhaps others like me. Also, I think learning from history is better than not learning history, so for new(er) members, these type of posts might be instructive at best or eye-rolling at worst. I was casually checking through my stockroom a few days ago, organizing, moving boxes around, admiring pretty sets, etc., when my eyes fell upon my admittedly small stash of #60026 Town Squares (in all fairness, I admit to only having four). I hadn't checked in on this old fellow for a bit so pulled up some eBay sold listings. I was pleasantly surprised to see the eBay trend price is $218 CAD with a few selling above that number (as of Nov. 12, 2015). This piqued my curiosity because I know I purchased these last year 20% off (plus VIP) from S&H in December 2014. For an eleven month hold I have to admit to being downright jolly about this set's performance. Perhaps it is because I was very conservative in my expectations (say, $200+ CAD 18 months after retirement or so) or maybe I am just happy anytime I 'know' I can sell a set for at least some profit after taxes and fees and such (it definitely placates my significant other as well to show her sale prices over $200 CAD so she knows this set is almost certainly going to make at least some profit). Not every set can be the Zombies or the Town Hall. I believe a solid portfolio should be balanced, and this large City set seems like it would have been a good one to add to any investor's portfolio at a reasonable discount. I know, I know, buy in is always a combative point in the forums, but I think we can mostly almost always 100% of the time agree that City sets can be found at discount at some point in their product cycle. So why has this quiet little (big) set done pretty well in the last eleven months? The Good: A short production lifespan. Brickset.com lists its availability from Aug 1, 2013 to December 2014. I can't remember the exact day, but it was post Boxing Day 2014. It lasted a bit at 20% off on Shop at Home, but not crazy long (like Kingdom's Joust at 20% off...which considering the derision some heaped on it whilst on sale, it will still eke out profits if sold today). I regret not grabbing a couple more, actually. I think I was entirely too concerned with festive celebrations and not doing due diligence to realize this run was actually well under what I will simply call 'average' (debate what average is to you in your own posts...to me it is around two years, give or take a couple months, so this was a significant difference from MY concept of average). I also was probably so full of holiday cheer that I forgot I had done quite well on 8404 Public Transport. Again, not fireworks, but bought at discount near EOL, held for less than a year and solidly collected cash. Virtual money in your portfolio isn't nearly as sweet as the real cash I got from selling my 8404's and pushing that money right back into other sets. Little buzz. I just reread some of the six (yes! all six pages!) of the 60026 discussion. It was a real barn-burner in some sections...scintillating reading, really! I posted in that thread a few times! And if you are reading this, you've already at least partially allowed your brain to think my jibber-jabber is relevant and useful to you! Also, I think if you took out the posts about the initial launch and the flurry of posts when it went on sale on S&H near the end there were possibly only a handful of other posts in the intervening 15 months. Boooo-ring! I think part of this is that (at least in Canada) it was a TRU exclusive and difficult to get with any significant discount. I seem to remember about 20% with some air miles bonuses about the best I could muster. South of the border I'm sure some of you used 'American coupon magic' (that is banned in Canada) to get your buy in crazy low, but I don't recall any massive sales on this set in my parts (which probably accounts for the rather paltry amount of chatter about this set). More expensive successor. I think having 60097 City Square come out at a higher MSRP helped 60026. I think one could make a counter-argument or argue that any successor ultimately will limit the growth of 60026 but I tend not to agree with any hypothetical naysayers. I imagine the kind of people buying 60026 over MSRP do so not in lieu of purchasing its 'replacement' (a large City 'scene', if you will) but buy it because they want it in addition to 60097. Higher values of one (at least to me) seem to go hand in hand with higher values for the other. City sets are winners! Ha! I know a multitude of BPers will disagree, but no matter! I have made solid, steady and often unremarkable gains on City sets and like it that way. If you look at City's 15.79% CAGR and then throw out the humdrum police and fire sets, you *might* begin to see that some of the more unique sets in this theme seem to do rather well, even though it is an unlicensed theme and whole subthemes are under threat of a refresh at any given time. That does mean a savvy investor has to be always on the lookout for rumors and leaks of future themes/sets so product can be moved when necessary, but that is a risk I'm willing to take. I don't wish I had fifty of these, partly because I don't have that kind of capital to tie up in a single set and partly because even if this set is $250-275 CAD next Christmas I don't know if I could quickly find a home for so many at once (and I rely on regular sales to keep the investing side of the machine running), but I do wish I had about 10-15. So, what can we learn by looking at a slow, steady gainer eleven months post-EOL? Hopefully something to help us make better choices going forward. I know I buy much more selectively now than a few years ago, and I try to find a comfortable little niche where I can buy-sell-rinse-repeat enough to keep money coming in and a smile on my face. Perhaps you'd like to join me? BigBlueDogBricks (Veegs) </p> View full blog article
    7 points
  2. What... https://www.brickclassifieds.com/products/in-stock-75827-ghostbusters-firehouse-headquarters
    5 points
  3. The Sandcrawler is without a doubt one of the most iconic vehicles in the entire Star Wars universe. Ever since C-3PO first spotted this gargantuan transport, Star Wars fans have been very attracted to the idea of owning their own version, along with its extremely popular operators, the Jawas. Back in 2004 released its own version of the Sandcrawler. That set remains a pretty accurate version of what we originally saw in the movies, and for a long time it was also a very expensive set to acquire in the secondary market. As mentioned before, a big part of its appeal was that, at the time, it was the only set to ever include the Jawa minifigures. As you can see in the graph below, the original 10144 Sandcrawler has experienced a significant decrease in value. A year ago, you could acquire a used version for around $240; that’s $50 more than what it is currently selling for. Of course, it is not hard to explain the reason for this decrease, as LEGO released a much-improved version of the Sandcrawler during the second quarter of 2014. At the time, I have to admit that I didn’t really like the newer model as much as I do now. The newer version will hit its 2-year anniversary next year, and while LEGO’s product cycles have changed significantly over the last few years, I figured I would give my opinion about the Sandcrawler’s investment potential. As a personal note, I recently acquired a personal copy of this set for my personal collection, and have to admit that it is a pretty impressive model with really nice minifigures. One of the reasons I am confident this set will perform well once retired is that it includes almost 3,300 pieces, making it one of the largest LEGO sets currently in production. While size is not the only predictor for future growth, it has definitely contributed to the success of other sets beyond the Star Wars theme. In this case, the number of pieces allows for the design of the set to be extremely accurate to its movie counterpart. As mentioned before, the minifigure selection is also pretty solid, with the 4 Jawas and Owen Lars as its main highlights. It is important to mention that the release of this newer version has actually hurt the value of the Jawa minifigure in general, as it used to sell for closer to $30 and now hovers slightly over $10. Another aspect that I believe will contribute to this set’s future value is the instruction manual. While some of the older Ultimate Collectors Series (UCS) sets had really nice and bulky instructions (Death Star/Super Star Destroyer) the new Sandcrawler is one of the first, if not the first, to include what I consider a more collector oriented manual. Besides giving the builder step by step instructions, it also includes a nice introduction with some images and information about the Sandcrawler itself. A pretty nice touch that LEGO and Star Wars collectors will definitely value in the long run. LEGO officially recognized the set as part of the Star Wars’ UCS, making it the first set to be “stamped” with the new UCS seal on the box. While one could really argue the Sandcrawler does not really qualify as a UCS set for a couple of reasons (missing information label and the fact that it is a play-set and not a display piece), official recognition by LEGO is all it takes for it to be sought after by some of the most serious collectors. As we all know, UCS sets appreciate significantly after retirement, and this one should be no exception. Even if you were to completely dismiss the set as part of the UCS line, the performance of the original Sandcrawler over the 8 years before this new release was pretty outstanding. While the investment landscape has changed, the size and price don’t necessarily make this one easy to hoard for the average investor. I put this set in the same category as I do the Death Star and Ewok Village, not really UCS but not solely play sets either; more of a mixed breed that I am encouraged to see LEGO is willing to produce more often, as evidenced with the upcoming Hoth Rebel Base. It will definitely be interesting to see how these "sub-line" behaves once retired. Finally, it is my personal opinion that the Sandcrawler will retire at some point in 2016, probably by the end of the year. I will shoot to have at least 4 or 5 of these before July of next year, and invite every investor to consider it as part of their strategy as well. Thanks for reading. View full blog article
    4 points
  4. Hi anyone care to venture a guess at the value on this custom Lego Colosseum. It's around 24in tall and a little over 45in in diameter. I'm only guessing but I think it weighs around 100lbs. I dont know how many total pieces but it has to be in the tens of thousands. I can count hundreds of pieces just in a small section of the structure. Also included are around 135 roman mini figures. It came from a major movie studio prop department.
    4 points
  5. Nice write up. One thing to consider if buying this set for a long-term hold is the box has a seam that is glued shut on the bottom of the front panel. I would store the box upside down or flat on its back so that the weight of the elements are not constantly putting strain on the seam. I have had one that had perfect seals but a popped seam.
    4 points
  6. More JW polys at $40... Need to send more in now . Who needs an IR when u got a GT.
    3 points
  7. Is the murder the pro or the con...?
    3 points
  8. ...Cause i don't have to sell mine immediately? It's kind of funny how the QFLL mentality would make someone even ask the question you've posed above. So there's a 39.99 set, and its exclusive, available at only 2 retailers in the US. It has already been selling for 70-85 in the US DURING it's production run. Wouldn't that be a nice set to have a year or two after they stop making it? I sure don't mind the idea of selling them shortly before Christmas, but i'm also happy to play the Lego game the old fashioned way and just wait for the Retirement tag to make its way across the pond.
    3 points
  9. The time for PS hasn't come multiple times. Grand Emporium Sold OUt in October last year. Fire Brigade went in December the year before. October-December is modular retirement season. We're in the thick of it.
    3 points
  10. 2 points
  11. 2 points
  12. But the old one is such a nice set. Ah who am I kidding, found it in a Mom and Pop shop a few months ago, looked it up on Brickpicker, saw it was already nicely in profit and picked it up straight away.
    2 points
  13. I don't know if this has ever been mentioned before, but I have been using this site called FitShipper that is really helpful for determining box size and the most cost effective shipping method. http://www.flippertools.com/fitShipper/fitShipper.html They also are working on another tool that may be helpful related to Best Offer sales on ebay. You can enter the ebay item number or the URL for the item and it will give you the offer history. http://www.flippertools.com/tools/ebayOfferHistory/ebay-best-offer-actual-price.htm
    2 points
  14. A few people on RedFlagDeals are reporting finding LEGO Classic 10697 XXXL in Walmart for $40. This is a rumoured Black Friday deal that is showing up early in some stores. There's nothing in my neck of the woods yet, but the people who are finding it seem to be in Quebec. Just a heads-up to everyone to keep their eyes open for these.
    2 points
  15. 2 points
  16. Mos Eisley Cantina is now in red sold out status on Shop at Home. Is this one leaving with the ISD? I think they came out at the same time.
    2 points
  17. Now it's 65% RRP? Last week it was only 50% RRP, and amazon prices seem to have fell another 10.00. Whatever. Saw 3 RE's at my local wm this week, and 2 IR's, and left them all. I've already hit my limit, and i'm not buying anymore. Like, a guy said before, why continue to hit the same few sets over and over, when there are many others out there to buy. I'm definitely in agreement with that strategy, because if we let these slow down, maybe lego will retire them in the states, instead of saying "wow, these sell in 2 minutes, fire up the machines". There's a point where you have to realize you're part of the problem, not part of the solution.
    2 points
  18. i can see SOLD OUT @TRU online...Great!!!
    2 points
  19. Does this meet the reasonable price for zero fees requirement?
    2 points
  20. 2 points
  21. Posted yesterday in Minneapolis. Emailed the person within 15 minutes. Title of ad was "LEGOS 1000+ pieces & xmas theme & viking ship" Spent maybe an hour looking through stuff last night. First off, "1000+ pieces" is more like a 40 pound bin. Sets ID'd so far: 10199 Winter Toy Shop 7018 Viking Ship 3830 Bikini Bottom Express 7594 Woody's Roundup 7596 Trash Compactor Escape Also, found evidence of some form of Hogwarts express (the round printed tile on the front of the loco and a train car base), some version of Hogwarts Castle (but not 4842), a soccer set with maybe two teams. And I would say all of that above accounts for about 25% of what is in the bin. More work ahead. Oh, and 75 cents in change - 0% sale commission on that flip!!
    1 point
  22. Sold the older Destiny's Bounty 9446 for €197 shipped.
    1 point
  23. I think more in Black Friday/Daily Deal threads, but definitely not as much in its own thread.
    1 point
  24. I sold a pre Vizla's starfighter (9525) for $50 and a kraang lab escape (79100) for $13 to the same person locally
    1 point
  25. Several Creative Towers - 10664 via Amazon $124 EBay - Series 11 Female Scientist - $14
    1 point
  26. The Robot Garage http://www.therobotgarage.com/ It is the closest thing I have seen to a privately held Lego Store. Large focus on Robotics (Mindstorms) but they have a retail space dedicated to Lego as well.
    1 point
  27. If I had missed Smaug, I would have paid the most for that. Easily. Not everyone has read all lotr books, and silmarillion is too abstract (although if there were a set with a balrog...) but many people have read the hobbit in one form or another. I think before Harry Potter, it was probably the fantasy novel with the highest volume count out there. Smaug practically is the essential fantasy quest. I'm being a little nostalgic, but that's easily what I'd pay the most for. I also missed mirkwood spiders and was really irritated. Also never picked up Helms Deep, which would have been deeply satisfying. It doesn't sell that well apparently, but the weather top set would be great too... Uh, yeah, obviously I wish I had them all.
    1 point
  28. There's a local (plastic/vinyl forming) company in Ottawa that custom makes them to your specifications but you need to order them by the 1000's, you could check out these guys http://qpcpack.com/clamshell-catalog/ (I've never used them but had the bookmark hanging around for awhile)
    1 point
  29. target and walmart sold out of ISD for online shipping in the last day so amazon bumped their price. great news about Cantina - perfect timing. definitely right about all these Vader sets fading into the sunset. stock has dried up. gonna git sum last minit cantina's - i have 26 of these maybe i can make it to 30 today. it just seems like yesterday they were newborn... hard to imagine a set with Bith minifigures isn't going to do well.
    1 point
  30. My local Walmarts mysteriously get 4 or 8 at a time... they disappear for a couple weeks, then 4 or 8 more appear on the shelves. I know they usually get a shipment of LEGO every week but it's very odd for them to trickle in like that but their restocking practices are way harder to predict than TRU. Who literally put all they've got out on the shelves and the extras go up in the rafters for all to see. PayPayl is 2.9% ... #justsayin
    1 point
  31. Virtual profit is the best kind and doesn't take up too much room in your wallet.
    1 point
  32. 1 point
  33. I think the new droid escape pod 75136 has a couple of Jawa minifigs.
    1 point
  34. My dear eBay seller. You've put up with uncounted ridiculous demands. You've paid eBay extortionists fees. You slaved away, printing and mailing packages. Welcome to the eBay $100K club! Have $100K in eBay sales! Let us recognize you here! You're a Master of Online Commerce, a Prince of Paypal, a Duke of the Deal. I'd bet Jeff will even authorize a new Badge for you, right here on BP. (pretty please!). Exalted status to those with $250K, and Lifetime Emeritus Membership for any $500k seller. Do we have a Million Dollar member yet? Pics or it didn't happen (Check your eBay dashboard, and you'll see your lifetime sales). Drum roll, please....
    1 point
  35. Well it's retired in the EU / Asia ahead of all other JW sets, same thing could easily happen in the US as well. Prices throughout the rest of the world are already 2x RRP.
    1 point
  36. Thanks for the sympathy. After the attack on Charlie Hebdo, people were first sad and then angry. For now, they are sad, but also really feared (129 death and 350+ wounded people, 6 differents places attacked at the same time, hostages executed... this is no small stuff). As you can imagine, lots of events (garage sales, sports competions...) have been canceled. I'm not sure what will happen on Xmas and New year. I guess people will stay at home. I only hope the adult's mood will not affect the child's innocence. They will know soon enough how cruel some people can be. aside note: here it's 05:30 AM and as you can imagine, I still can't sleep.
    1 point
  37. With a current ~$100 buy-in, easy availability, and the set marked "sold out" in the US and "retired" in the EU, this is pretty much a no-brainer. I'd guess you're looking at a 50-60% bump as soon as stock is depleted in the US. It's rare we get a decent-sized SW set like this as retired/sold out and still see substantial discounts from MSRP and easy acquisition. This kind of opportunity is not an every-month occurrence in our little hobby.* Figure this as a $200 set by next summer, especially if the movie is a big hit and not a dog (see: Ep I-II-III). *even a few slow-selling dogs bought at 50%+ off MSRP early this year have appreciated nicely in the last 6 months for a healthy return. A few good examples are Mechdragon (bought for $17 at TRU and now selling for $40+) and 4204 The Mine (bought for $50 at TRU, and clearing $100 today). Even the Jedi Cruiser - bought at $57 from TRU back in February, is starting to clear $90+ on eBay, with some very recent BIN sales at $99. All good stuff.
    1 point
  38. I get mine from Lego store. I know the sets fit perfectly and they are free as it saves the employees sorting them out. :-)
    1 point
  39. "I know that the forum is more about having fun than about serious stuff (other than business) but I wanted to bring this to everybodys attention:" Folks, my heart is with people of Paris and those impacted. However, there are other web sites out there more suited for this subject. Additionally, this is front page news everywhere already. Does it really need to be discussed here? (I'm not asking for a reply) So the mods will allow this topic for now but unlike 99% of the existing forums!, this will be "closely" moderated. If it gets out of hand, the entire thread will prob get deleted.
    1 point
  40. I hope we get a Mickey mouse fig so I can put his head on the President Business body.
    1 point
  41. If it meant something, Lego will surely change it...
    1 point
  42. 1 point
  43. Lego Mid-Century Modern House by Rob Bender
    1 point
  44. So, what's different about last year's set and this year? Price and look/feel. Last year was $99.99. And it looked like a bunch of different parts. This year's set is one big house, and it's price point is $30 cheaper. No way LEGO leaves money on the table. I think that's why they went with a smaller price point set this year. I'm sure they've noticed it's selling as well as it is. Makes sense to bring it back next year, and follow up with something similar next year as well.
    1 point
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