Disclaimer: I have no horse in this race, being too late to the game to stock up early and not enough capital to go nuts on this set in the last year or two, so for those and many reasons people have already stated, I avoided it for investment. I did grab one in a perfect box this spring for myself before it was too late. I think this initial spike (which may happen more than once in the next few months, if the death star is only "mostly dead" at this point) is truly the only predictable growth for this set, other than growth in general. Why? The apparent EOL timing is like NOTHING we have seen before: - 7 full years in production, essentially unheard of... - Substantially into the "popular" era of Lego investing, where an exponentially greater number of people are pouncing on it at the seemingly most opportune time... - A few months prior to the massive hype for Star Wars in general, meaning not only extra interest but extra product competing for the consumer's dollar... - and an unknown time period prior to the "remake", should such rumors prove true. I suppose one can look at almost every set as a unique situation, but as the post-10179 "Top Dog" in Star Wars, if not all of Lego, everything is magnified here. Let's face it, this is kind of a big deal. So, a little analyzing and comparison from Brickset using these numbers makes me think: Death Star (1.25) 7647 people have the set 6136 people want the set In production 7 years $400 US Millenium Falcon (0.4) 2749 HAVE 6924 WANT Produced 2.5 years, EOL over 5 years $500 US Super Star Destroyer (0.84) 4045 HAVE 4822 WANT Produced nearly 3 years, EOL about 1 year $400 US R2-D2 (1.93) 5769 2990 Produced 2.5 years, EOL less than 1 $180 US Ewok Village (0.84) 3773 have 4488 want In production nearly 2 years $250 US Red 5 (1.25) 4108 3276 In production 2+ years $200 US Sandcrawler (0.67) 2634 3927 In Production 1+ years $300 US Slave I (0.72) 2552 3544 In production less than 1 year $200 US Tower Bridge (1.84) 5696 have 3092 want In production nearly 5 years $240 US Fire Brigade (2.29) 10206 have 4453 want Produced 4 years, EOL for 2 $150 US Grand Emporium (2.64) 11545 4379 Produced 4.5 years, EOL nearly 1 $150 US Pet Shop (2.76) 11117 4032 In production 4+ years $150 US Palace Cinema (2.22) 8826 3983 In production 2+ years $150 US Town Hall (1.89) 8294 4378 Produced 2.5 years, EOL nearly 1 $200 US T1 VW Camper Van (3.81) 9071 have 2379 want In production nearly 4 years $120 US 1. More people WANT this set than any other listed except 10179 - significantly more than SSD (#2), nearly twice as many as EV (#3) and TH (#4), over twice as many as R2 and TB, No doubt the price point is the major factor here, especially considering the production life. If all those people couldn't afford it in the last 7 years, why would they pay a (major) premium in the next 3? There are valid answers to this question, but think about it. With the increased awareness of post-availability value spikes, how many of those people are biting the bullet and getting one now before prices supposedly skyrocket? How many "unaware" future customers do not use Brickset? 2. There ARE a lot of people who OWN this set already - nearly 3x as many as 10179, 2x SSD, more than R2 and TB, nearly as many as TH, but not nearly as many as FB/GE/PS. How many owners have extras to sell in the coming months / years? How many investors check the box on Brickset? 3. Overall interest (HAVE + WANT) is nearly that of FB/GE/PS, more than T1/TB/R2, way more than SSD. Clearly this stat isn't a main factor in terms of investment value. 4. The ratio (HAVE / WANT) is basically half that of FB/GE/PS and much less than R2/TH. This is a very good sign in theory, but going back to the price point, how many of those unfulfilled wishes will come true? And how many will forget / modify their dream once the new set comes out? That ratio will obviously increase as time goes on, and it is already well above (worse than) SSD, which is performing worse than R2/TH so far. However, long-retired UCS sets with even better ratios have not done well as investments, so do these numbers really mean anything? (Stick that in your ventilation shaft and smoke it)