Very little disparity between new/used prices?
People who are buying this set are building this set, it would seem.
I think many of us can agree on moderately high risk / high reward for the line as a whole.
Personally, I bought Benny right away last year, with a TRU coupon / discount. Bit of a high price now, but who could have predicted it would be so widely available at 50% off? Besides, the idea was that my son could have it as a gift at some point.
Sea Cow was always interesting, but not a priority of any sort until late last year. Once these sets started drying up a bit, I realized I always lingered just a bit in stores looking at details on many of these sets (even on the "toilet/trash" stuff) just like I did my favorite themes, and figured if sales really were as poor as they seemed on the line as a whole, and TLM became any kind of an enduring franchise, I would seriously regret not having any. So I bought up one of each, as well as any real hot deals. Sea Cow, again, is basically just a magnified version of this description to me. I'm not a ship or steampunk nut, but I think it is pretty awesome just for what it is, and wouldn't want to fork over $500+ for it years down the road.
The sooner it goes EOL the higher the potential reward for stocking up on them. The longer it lingers, the more potential downside if it never takes off "long term".
I am also curious what some of you mean when you say "long term". In this period of hyper-flipping, some people think a year is a long hold. Is anyone seriously considering Sea Cow as a 5+ year investment? Do you believe it will follow a pattern similar to the norm, and plateau approximately 2 years after sold out / eol? I personally think it won't have the endurance of the iconic SW sets or something like the Batmobile/Tumbler/Helicarrier, but then if many less Sea Cattle are produced and TLM endures at all, that line of thinking is more or less nullified. It could go completely bonkers 3 years from now, similar to what PotC ships appear to be doing, or faster and stronger.
This one really remains a mystery. Maybe Lego put it out there as a sort of experiment, not knowing what to expect from it, either. TLM sets have probably been a mild disappointment to both them and us so far, overall, but is that because they just weren't popular, or were significantly overproduced?