I know it's a small set, but do you guys think it has good potential if bought at 35% off? How high can this set be worth at its peak? Your guys thoughts.

This is a pretty cool set! my personal favorite minifigure is Gollum.

That, and I have my doubts that Shelob will make a return in the future.

I agree to this.  Shelob didn't have presence outside of the single appearance it made in the movie.

At 35% off it's hard to go wrong.  I'd go for it at that price.  Have you read the reviews on the set?  There are a couple of very good ones:

http://www.brickpicker.com/reviews/set.cfm?set=9470-1

I like this set, but it is available everywhere, so it probably won't be a massive earner. 

TOK and I are going to have battles with these things though I won't let it get out of hand. 

Short Answer: Good Investment.

 

Long Answer: The set is facing hard competition from other cheap sets like Wolverine Chopper Showdown and Arctic Batman, but the uniqueness of the LOTR line and the exclusivity of Sam will make it a valuable investment. In fact, this competition has helped the set fly under the radar which is always a good thing. If LOTR is discontinued after this wave than it will be the only set with Sam, who plays a huge part in the films. If LOTR is continued the themes popularity will only rise and help prices. The set itself is my personal favorite from the first LOTR line, and while I can't promise that it will be the next Ice Dragon, it sure looks like it might. Need more proof? Lets look at some similar priced sets from other popular movies:

 

7621 Indiana Jones and the Lost Tomb: Retail $19.99 Current Price: $71.33 (256% up from retail)

4737 Quidditch Match: Retail $19.99 Price: $41.15 (105% up from retail)

 

If your budget allows, get a couple (or ten). You won't regret it in five years.

Short Answer: Good Investment.

 

Long Answer: The set is facing hard competition from other cheap sets like Wolverine Chopper Showdown and Arctic Batman, but the uniqueness of the LOTR line and the exclusivity of Sam will make it a valuable investment. In fact, this competition has helped the set fly under the radar which is always a good thing. If LOTR is discontinued after this wave than it will be the only set with Sam, who plays a huge part in the films. If LOTR is continued the themes popularity will only rise and help prices. The set itself is my personal favorite from the first LOTR line, and while I can't promise that it will be the next Ice Dragon, it sure looks like it might. Need more proof? Lets look at some similar priced sets from other popular movies:

 

7621 Indiana Jones and the Lost Tomb: Retail $19.99 Current Price: $71.33 (256% up from retail)

4737 Quidditch Match: Retail $19.99 Price: $41.15 (105% up from retail)

 

If your budget allows, get a couple (or ten). You won't regret it in five years.

This is a very reasonable post. The exclusive Gollum in this set also helps it. I think if you have the space and some $$$ (and find it cheap) picking up a few would be prudent.

I cannot see it exploding as much as the Ice Dragon, but it will do well.

This is a very reasonable post. The exclusive Gollum in this set also helps it. I think if you have the space and some $$$ (and find it cheap) picking up a few would be prudent.

I cannot see it exploding as much as the Ice Dragon, but it will do well.

 

How is Gollum exclusive?

 

cheapest Hobbit set = Gollum...

 

 

This set will fail horribly IF sam is rereleased in any other set 

 

If he is not he will double easily within 2 years of AFOL

 

it all depends on the Sam boy

It is a different Gollum to the Hobbit set

It is a different Gollum to the Hobbit set

 

apart from completionists for us regular mortal beings 1 gollum is more than enough 

I agree with the Sam comment, that a lot of the sets value hinges on him.
As for Gollum, well people do want multiples of sets with the variations. By the time the number of sets dwindle, people will pay if they want it, and parents will pick Shelob over Riddles most times due to more figures, parts and the spider.

apart from completionists for us regular mortal beings 1 gollum is more than enough 

 

Well, 1 Gollum + 1 smaegol, to have them talk together...

Well, 1 Gollum + 1 smaegol, to have them talk together...

 

Yep 

 

Speaking as an LOTR minifig collector I have to have both variations.

I think its a winner especially at 35% off. Of all the sets my son and I have put together recently, he consistently plays with Shelob.

Plus there is also crossover value for people who missed out on Hagrid's Hut and the big spider that came with that one. In the world of HP, Hagrid is easy to get but a brick built spider isnt.

Speaking as an LOTR minifig collector I have to have both variations.

And me speaking as a general minfig collector (or just being myself), I must have both for my collection as well as what Ambroise said.

 

Well, 1 Gollum + 1 smaegol, to have them talk together...

I can totally see this scene in Lego......and sitting on my desk.

i feel it has enough uniqgue minifigs that it should do well, even shelob, which could technically be built from pieces wont looks 100% correct without the face brick.

This is a very reasonable post. The exclusive Gollum in this set also helps it. I think if you have the space and some $$$ (and find it cheap) picking up a few would be prudent.

I cannot see it exploding as much as the Ice Dragon, but it will do well.

 

Well, of course its not going to be the next Ice Dragon in that it will see a rapid rise (or at least I doubt it will), but I can see it getting up to 70 bucks in a couple years.

There is a lot of people that don't have this set for investment, and also a lot that don't rate it. Thats two pluses in my book as the supply is limited in the future.

 

Found some at a local toy shop at 50% off so got the last 2 for

The shelob scene is pretty iconic and I think there will be enough hard core LOTR fans out there that the set will grow in value after EOL. Just my two cents...

Bought a bucket load of these from Tesco UK @

Bought a bucket load of these from Tesco UK @

I walked into a Toys R US outlet and saw about 15 sitting on a shelf but they rand up for $39.99. I should have known better.

So many regrets. I always passed on these on clearance all over the place. But I was young and new and didn't know any better I tell myself.

d'oh