Curious how in-store stocks are holding up since it seems that many online sources are drying up -- good for resellers and any of us LLQF's

LEGO SAH makes it easy to breakdown by price and what's in stock (once you eliminate the items that are not buildable sets -- i.e. STEM kits, EV3 modules, etc... that still show in the list even though you specify "Sets" in the filter).

Here's their status (US market) as I measured:

Price Range, Sets Available, As a Percent

>$100: 18, 23%

$75 to $100: 13, 19%

$50 to $75: 17, 26%

$25 to $50: 27% (stopped screening buildable sets, and just divided available into avail+sold out+backordered)

<$25: 36% (includes key chains, dots, etc...)

So, looking at the serious sets >$50, that's less than 50 sets across all themes.  If SAH is the canary in the coal mine, I would expect the other B&M retailers to sell out soon.

I suppose on another positive note, it should be easy to identify the turds

 

I'll add some of the B&M online stocks:

Amazon ("LEGO", sold by Amazon.com, building sets, Prime eligible, LEGO Brand): 313 sets, 104 over $50***

Walmart ("LEGO", retailer Walmart.com, building sets and toys, Deliver to Home eligible): 281 sets, 77 over $50***

Target ("LEGO", building sets, shipping available): 334 sets, 93 over $50***

*** Note: doesn't include sets on sale <$50 that are RRP >$50

 

I'll try to update this list again every few days to see how the supply is holding up.

Update for 12/13:

Price Range, Sets Available (change from 12/9, change from 12/1)

LEGO SAH:

>$100: 5 (-1, -13)

$75 to $100: 3 (-2, -10)

$50 to $75: 7 (-1, -10)

$25 to $50: 4% (-3%, -27%)

<$25: 18% (-1%, -18%)

 

Amazon ("LEGO", sold by Amazon.com, building sets, Prime eligible, LEGO Brand): 148 (-24, -165) sets, 66 (+2, -38) over $50***

Walmart ("LEGO", retailer Walmart.com, LEGO sets and toys, Deliver to Home eligible): 235,  (-31, -46) sets, 54 (-8, -23) over $50***

Target ("LEGO", building sets, shipping available): 270 (-1, -64) sets, 73 (+11, -20) over $50***

*** Note: doesn't include sets on sale <$50 that are RRP >$50

 

LEGO is down to 15 unique buildable sets over $50.  They are down to 4 sets from $25 to $50, and very few under $25.

 

Here is what LEGO still has in stock over $25:

> $100: Rough Terrain Crane, Lamborghini Sian FKP 37, 6x6 Volvo Articulated Hauler, The Flaming Foundry, Marvel Studios Iron Man

New OOS: Andy Warhol's Marilyn Monroe

$75 to $100:  Hogwarts Astronomy Tower, Skull Sorcerer's Dungeons, Mobile Bat Base

New OOS: Crocodile Locomotive, General Grievous's Starfighter

$50 to $75: Monkie Kid's Cloud Jet, 4 Privet Drive, Ducati Panigale V4 R, Monkie Kid's Cloud Roadster, Adventures with Mario Starter Course, Central Airport, Sandy's Speedboat

New OOS: Knights of Ren Transport Ship

$25 to $50 (started listing 12/13): Air Race, Wonder Woman vs. Cheetah, Action Battle Hoth Generator Attack, Lonesome Flats Raft Adventure

 

 

Update for 12/15:

Price Range, Sets Available (change from 12/13, change from 12/1)

LEGO SAH:

>$100: 5 (0, -13)

$75 to $100: 3 (0, -10)

$50 to $75: 6 (-1, -11)

$25 to $50: 5 (+1, +1 (from 12/13))

<$25: 18% (0%, -18%) -- 12 sets, 13 brickheadz

 

Amazon ("LEGO", sold by Amazon.com, building sets, Prime eligible, LEGO Brand): 137 (-11, -176) sets, 63 (-3, -41) over $50***

Walmart ("LEGO", retailer Walmart.com, LEGO sets and toys, Deliver to Home eligible): 221,  (-14, -60) sets, 57 (+3, -20) over $50***

Target ("LEGO", building sets, shipping available): 228 (-42, -106) sets, 64 (-9, -29) over $50***

*** Note: doesn't include sets on sale <$50 that are RRP >$50

 

LEGO is down to 14 unique buildable sets over $50.  They have 44 buildable sets across all price ranges, but 30% of those are brickheadz.

 

Here is what LEGO still has in stock over $25:

> $100: Rough Terrain Crane, Lamborghini Sian FKP 37, 6x6 Volvo Articulated Hauler, The Flaming Foundry, Marvel Studios Iron Man

No change

$75 to $100:  Deep Space Rocket and Launch Control, Hogwarts Astronomy Tower, Remote Controlled Stunt Racer,

New OOS: Skull Sorcerer's Dungeons, Mobile Bat Base

New Stock: Deep Space Rocket and Launch Control, Remote Controlled Stunt Racer

$50 to $75: Monkie Kid's Cloud Jet, 4 Privet Drive, Monkie Kid's Cloud Roadster, Adventures with Mario Starter Course, Central Airport, Sandy's Speedboat

New OOS:  Ducati Panigale V4 R

$25 to $50 (started listing 12/13): Air Race, The Knight Bus, Wonder Woman vs. Cheetah, Action Battle Hoth Generator Attack, Lonesome Flats Raft Adventure

New Stock: The Knight Bus

1 hour ago, TheBrickClique said:

Update for 12/15:

Price Range, Sets Available (change from 12/13, change from 12/1)

LEGO SAH:

>$100: 5 (0, -13)

$75 to $100: 3 (0, -10)

$50 to $75: 6 (-1, -11)

$25 to $50: 5 (+1, +1 (from 12/13))

<$25: 18% (0%, -18%) -- 12 sets, 13 brickheadz

 

Amazon ("LEGO", sold by Amazon.com, building sets, Prime eligible, LEGO Brand): 137 (-11, -176) sets, 63 (-3, -41) over $50***

Walmart ("LEGO", retailer Walmart.com, LEGO sets and toys, Deliver to Home eligible): 221,  (-14, -60) sets, 57 (+3, -20) over $50***

Target ("LEGO", building sets, shipping available): 228 (-42, -106) sets, 64 (-9, -29) over $50***

*** Note: doesn't include sets on sale <$50 that are RRP >$50

 

LEGO is down to 14 unique buildable sets over $50.  They have 44 buildable sets across all price ranges, but 30% of those are brickheadz.

 

Here is what LEGO still has in stock over $25:

> $100: Rough Terrain Crane, Lamborghini Sian FKP 37, 6x6 Volvo Articulated Hauler, The Flaming Foundry, Marvel Studios Iron Man

No change

$75 to $100:  Deep Space Rocket and Launch Control, Hogwarts Astronomy Tower, Remote Controlled Stunt Racer,

New OOS: Skull Sorcerer's Dungeons, Mobile Bat Base

New Stock: Deep Space Rocket and Launch Control, Remote Controlled Stunt Racer

$50 to $75: Monkie Kid's Cloud Jet, 4 Privet Drive, Monkie Kid's Cloud Roadster, Adventures with Mario Starter Course, Central Airport, Sandy's Speedboat

New OOS:  Ducati Panigale V4 R

$25 to $50 (started listing 12/13): Air Race, The Knight Bus, Wonder Woman vs. Cheetah, Action Battle Hoth Generator Attack, Lonesome Flats Raft Adventure

New Stock: The Knight Bus

I was actually about to write something similar to this. I've been doing this for 8 years, with a few lighter years in the middle. Obviously the supply issues are strong right now, but I can't say I have ever seen anything like this. Basically everything is sold out. I was bored and trying to put together some items to get a GWP, and couldn't figure out anything worth while. Amazing really.

Update for 12/18:

Price Range, Sets Available (change from 12/15, change from 12/1)

LEGO SAH:

>$100: 2 (-3, -16)

$75 to $100: 1 (-2, -12)

$50 to $75: 4 (-2, -13)

$25 to $50: 3 (-2, -1 (from 12/13))

<$25: 17% (-1%, -19%)

 

Amazon ("LEGO", sold by Amazon.com, building sets, Prime eligible, LEGO Brand): 127 (-10, -186) sets, 62 (-1, -42) over $50***

Walmart ("LEGO", retailer Walmart.com, LEGO sets and toys, Deliver to Home eligible): 186,  (-35, -95) sets, 49 (-8, -28) over $50***

Target ("LEGO", building sets, shipping available): 225 (-3, -109) sets, 65 (+1, -28) over $50***

*** Note: doesn't include sets on sale <$50 that are RRP >$50

 

LEGO is down to 7 unique buildable sets over $50.  10 over $25.  Almost comical.  On the bright side, I don't expect there is any delay in filling orders...

 

I'm noticing that, for example, Target might say they have 65 sets over $50 available to ship, but if you look at the results, 12 of those sets are not available to ship and maybe more if I were to look at each set individually.  But, I'll stick with the raw numbers since digging into every set would take more time and I'm expecting that the general trend would still apply.

 

Here is what LEGO still has in stock over $25:

> $100: , The Flaming Foundry, Marvel Studios Iron Man

New OOS: Rough Terrain Crane, Lamborghini Sian FKP 37, 6x6 Volvo Articulated Hauler

$75 to $100:  Hogwarts Astronomy Tower

New OOS: Deep Space Rocket and Launch Control, Remote Controlled Stunt Racer

$50 to $75: 4 Privet Drive, Monkie Kid's Cloud Roadster, Central Airport, Sandy's Speedboat

New OOS:  Monkie Kid's Cloud Jet, Adventures with Mario Starter Course

$25 to $50 (started listing 12/13): Air Race, Wonder Woman vs. Cheetah, Action Battle Hoth Generator Attack

New OOS: The Knight Bus,  Lonesome Flats Raft Adventure

This is my favorite thread right now. I love looking at these numbers for some reason. Thank you for doing this!

I’m away from my computer today — I’ll try to post an update tonight. 
But I noticed that at the moment that LEGO SAH has far more sets in the Coming Soon status (~110) than Available (70 to 80) 
So, this makes me wonder, if they do not have the production in place to keep up with current holiday supply, how are they planning to hit the launch dates for over 100 new sets?  It would have been a complete logistics snafu if they produced these sets months ago amid an expected holiday shortage.

Maybe they appeased the retailers by taking the brunt of the inventory shortage so they could run the production of the new sets.

It will be interesting to see what sets launch on their expected dates and how much stock they have available. I would wait to pick up anything that you want to buy to build — they might be TOOS for awhile once the initial wave sells. 
 

The January sets are probably in warehouse already. I understand not wanting to produce EOL products, but they lost sales with the lack of inventory.

When I look at nearby Lego stores inventory for sets in my wanted list, they have more availability than online. I'm pretty sure they supply other retailers and physical stores before online shop (to prevent having empty shelves).

Ive got VIP vouchers i bought Black Friday that are going to expire in a couple of days. There is zero on the site i’m interested in right now.

My hope is that supply will increase after tomorrow, since there the cut off for express shipping guarantee by Christmas.

On 12/22/2020 at 12:28 AM, Alpinemaps said:

Ive got VIP vouchers i bought Black Friday that are going to expire in a couple of days. There is zero on the site i’m interested in right now.

My hope is that supply will increase after tomorrow, since there the cut off for express shipping guarantee by Christmas.

I had the same concern, I had to talk to LEGO CS about something else and mentioned this, they said the vouchers are really good 60 days, and even then if you call you can likely get them extended. I used my online ones early but I still have in-store ones to use

I had the same concern, I had to talk to LEGO CS about something else and mentioned this, they said the vouchers are really good 60 days, and even then if you call you can likely get them extended. I used my online ones early but I still have in-store ones to use

That’s good to hear. There are 2021 sets coming Jan 1 that I’ll pick up if my targeted sets don’t come back in stock by then.

Wrong thread

Edited December 23, 20205 yr by Blinky316

Update for 12/28:

Price Range, Sets Available (change from 12/18, change from 12/1)

LEGO SAH:

>$100: 2 (0, -16)

$75 to $100: 1 (0, -12)

$50 to $75: 3 (-1, -14)

$25 to $50: 3 (0, -1 (from 12/13))

<$25: 16% (-1%, -20%)

 

Amazon ("LEGO", sold by Amazon.com, building sets, Prime eligible, LEGO Brand): 172 (+45, -141) sets, 77 (+15, -27) over $50***

Walmart ("LEGO", retailer Walmart.com, LEGO sets and toys, Deliver to Home eligible): 193,  (+7, -88) sets, 51 (+2, -26) over $50***

Target ("LEGO", building sets, shipping available): 241 (+16, -93) sets, 64 (-1, -29) over $50***

*** Note: doesn't include sets on sale <$50 that are RRP >$50

 

Here is what LEGO still has in stock over $25:

> $100: , The Flaming Foundry, Marvel Studios Iron Man

No change

$75 to $100:  Hogwarts Astronomy Tower

No change

$50 to $75: 4 Privet Drive, Monkie Kid's Cloud Roadster, Sandy's Speedboat

New OOS:  Central Airport

$25 to $50 (started listing 12/13): Air Race, Wonder Woman vs. Cheetah, Action Battle Hoth Generator Attack

No change

 

LEGO doesn't have much room to drop.  Some sets come and go for brief spells, but the die-hard turds keep hanging on.

The three major retailers are inching back some stock but are still depressed from levels from the beginning of the month.  Amazon seems to have gotten the biggest boost.